NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	8.0 [333]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +43.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	10.2 [183]		LVP	Grant Williams (BOS): -10.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.43,0.43	0.14	0.28	-0.01	9	83%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,0.06,0.38	-0.06	0.44	-0.00	17	50%	0.51	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick White	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.08	0.00	9	86%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Robert Williams III	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.01	7	100%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	21	55%	0.11	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	6	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.35,0.26,0.44	0.44	0.20	0.22	-0.02	21	68%	0.52	3	-0.08	18	94%	0.20
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	12	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	16	51%	0.15	4	-0.08	9	100%	0.08
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	32.1	15.8	26.2	2.7	37.2	140.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +103.0%

PHI -44.9%

BOS +3.2%

PHI -15.4%

BOS +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.4	114.6	111.5	113.4
season	14.5	15.2		116.3	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.3	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	13.7	15.0	15.4	14.5
PHI	13.6	15.7	16.9	15.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	49	51	1.22	-0.72	1.94	0.49	25	-22	47	13.4	15.7	-2.29	15.9	15.0	0.92
Malcolm Brogdon	39	40	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-15	33	13.1	15.5	-2.41	16.6	14.7	1.94
Grant Williams	57	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-6	15	14.6	14.5	0.07	16.0	14.7	1.29
Robert Williams III	63	65	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-7	17	13.9	15.8	-1.91	15.7	15.0	0.74
Jaylen Brown	76	76	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.36	-6	9	-15	14.3	15.5	-1.29	15.6	14.9	0.72
Jayson Tatum	73	72	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	9	-15	15.5	11.6	3.84	14.7	17.8	-3.10
Sam Hauser	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	4	-5	13.2	14.6	-1.34	11.2	15.7	-4.40
Al Horford	65	64	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.26	-12	15	-27	15.3	13.0	2.26	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Marcus Smart	54	53	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.24	-22	25	-47	15.7	13.1	2.60	14.7	16.4	-1.64

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	75	76	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.41	21	-24	45	14.9	17.4	-2.51	14.8	13.5	1.30
Tobias Harris	75	76	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.34	18	-21	39	14.8	17.9	-3.06	15.1	12.5	2.50
James Harden	84	84	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-12	21	15.7	13.7	2.06	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Joel Embiid	78	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-11	19	14.6	19.1	-4.48	15.4	10.4	5.08
De'Anthony Melton	49	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-6	9	15.6	15.3	0.29	14.5	14.6	-0.04
Shake Milton	4	3	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	1	-5	13.0	15.6	-2.58	18.7	14.4	4.27
Paul Reed	10	9	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	11	-25	22.3	14.7	7.63	10.0	15.0	-5.00
Tyrese Maxey	49	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	8	-19	15.6	15.4	0.17	14.5	14.6	-0.07
Jalen McDaniels	31	30	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.04	-23	20	-43	16.8	14.8	1.93	12.5	15.4	-2.91
Georges Niang	25	24	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.10	-22	19	-41	16.5	15.1	1.37	13.5	14.9	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.17,0.31,0.16,0.41,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 115, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.78,0.61,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.02,0	89.9%
LAC 102, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.26,0.06,0.03,0.09,0	89.4%
UTA 100, NOP 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.53,0.15,0.15,0.16,0	89.4%