NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	8.3 [207]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +30.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	96		Comeback	9.6 [145]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -35.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.13	0.00	5	120%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	22	58%	0.36	4	-0.14	11	82%	0.05
Trevor Booker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elijah Millsap	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	8	11%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Trey Burke	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	10	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.11	-0.01	14	91%	0.59	6	-0.29	6	100%	0.03
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.06	-0.03	14	52%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.2,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.06	-0.29	0.00	17	50%	-0.17	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.2	15.3	25.4	2.0	33.3	130.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.5%

NOP -7.8%

UTA +24.3%

UTA +17.0%

UTA +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	16.5	16.5	15.1	112.4	111.6	104.2
season	16.2	15.8		103.8	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		106.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.3	17.2	16.4	14.3	16.5
NOP	17.7	15.4	18.6	14.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	22	21	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-14	32	17.0	16.3	0.72	16.9	16.3	0.60
Rudy Gobert	42	42	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-13	30	15.7	17.1	-1.41	15.7	17.2	-1.44
Gordon Hayward	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-1	6	15.9	18.7	-2.78	16.6	15.7	0.86
Steve Novak	23	22	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-6	16	18.1	15.9	2.19	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Trey Burke	40	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	-2	8	17.5	15.6	1.98	16.2	16.7	-0.48
Dante Exum	62	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-1	6	16.1	17.2	-1.09	16.6	16.1	0.54
Ian Clark	2	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	4	-4	19.5	16.4	3.11	20.5	16.4	4.14
Derrick Favors	63	60	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	15	-26	16.1	17.4	-1.36	16.7	15.9	0.76
Elijah Millsap	68	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.37	-14	18	-32	16.0	17.8	-1.77	16.2	17.3	-1.17
Enes Kanter	51	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.35	-16	20	-36	17.3	15.3	2.04	16.6	16.2	0.37

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	57	59	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.28	13	-17	30	16.5	16.3	0.27	15.6	18.2	-2.57
Jimmer Fredette	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-4	4	8.0	16.6	-8.55	0.0	16.6	-16.65
Eric Gordon	69	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-10	16	16.6	15.8	0.86	16.4	17.0	-0.65
Toney Douglas	44	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-4	4	15.7	17.3	-1.58	17.6	15.2	2.36
Tyreke Evans	70	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-5	6	16.7	15.2	1.56	15.9	18.8	-2.97
Dante Cunningham	41	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	6	-16	17.1	15.9	1.23	17.4	15.7	1.69
Alexis Ajinca	48	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	0	-4	16.5	16.4	0.15	16.5	16.4	0.07
Luke Babbitt	47	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-8	12	15.4	17.7	-2.31	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Jeff Withey	24	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	8	-20	17.2	16.1	1.10	17.7	16.1	1.62
Quincy Pondexter	29	30	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.08	-18	14	-32	16.7	16.4	0.30	17.0	16.2	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.53,0.15,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.03,0	90.2%
DAL 102, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.02,0,0	89.4%
MEM 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.08,0	89.4%