NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	115		Excitement	8.2 [305]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +43.4%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	7.9 [283]		LVP	Josh Hart (NYK): -14.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.43	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43	0.31	0.18	0.06	29	71%	0.46	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.08
Mitchell Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	6	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	10	58%	0.15	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	67%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.04	-0.10	0.07	0.01	20	32%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	8	94%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	8	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.14	0.01	14	52%	0.24	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.03
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.01	0.01	0.14	-0.08	0.05	10	82%	0.12	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.09
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	23	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	26.5	14.5	26.7	1.7	34.5	133.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -2.1%

WAS -1.5%

NYK +33.0%

NYK +21.1%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.4	118.6	112.4	113.4
season	15.1	14.8		115.6	113.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		114.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	12.3	15.5	15.9	14.7
WAS	13.8	14.4	14.5	17.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Robinson	60	57	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-7	20	14.2	15.5	-1.23	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Jalen Brunson	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	-1	8	15.1	13.1	1.98	14.4	17.2	-2.76
Julius Randle	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-2	10	14.8	14.3	0.58	14.6	16.2	-1.56
Josh Hart	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	6	-6	15.6	13.7	1.89	15.9	14.0	1.93
Immanuel Quickley	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	6	-6	15.4	13.8	1.59	15.8	13.8	2.01
RJ Barrett	59	60	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	1	4	13.8	16.1	-2.35	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Quentin Grimes	47	46	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	-2	10	13.2	16.1	-2.93	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Obi Toppin	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	8	-10	14.3	14.8	-0.58	16.2	14.6	1.56
Isaiah Hartenstein	36	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	15	-24	15.8	14.0	1.76	15.8	14.4	1.39

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	28	26	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-14	22	13.7	15.5	-1.79	15.3	14.5	0.88
Delon Wright	41	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-13	20	15.7	14.5	1.16	15.3	14.2	1.10
Deni Avdija	50	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-15	24	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.5	12.8	3.75
Corey Kispert	37	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-6	6	15.1	14.9	0.19	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Kendrick Nunn	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.9	14.7	1.13	12.5	15.4	-2.91
Bradley Beal	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-6	6	15.2	14.6	0.59	14.9	14.1	0.87
Daniel Gafford	28	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	6	-18	14.1	15.4	-1.29	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Monte Morris	55	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	6	-18	14.7	15.4	-0.77	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Kyle Kuzma	83	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	2	-10	14.8	16.1	-1.35	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Kristaps Porzingis	72	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.27	-17	11	-28	15.3	14.2	1.12	14.3	15.8	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.7,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.2,0.28,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.26,0	90.7%
GSW 118, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.22,0.43,0.42,0	89.4%
SAC 107, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.08,0	89.3%