NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	122		Excitement	3.1 [1200]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +11.4%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.0 [668]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -7.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.00	-0.06	19	58%	0.12	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.03	19	61%	0.08	5	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	44%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Miles McBride	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	15	65%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	73%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	24.4	15.4	30.4	2.4	27.3	128.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.3%

ATL -2.7%

NYK +11.3%

ATL -0.2%

NYK +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.1	14.4	118.4	99.0	113.4
season	15.1	13.8		115.6	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.4		114.9	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.6	16.3	17.7	15.2	15.0
ATL	13.7	16.5	9.6	13.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	83	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	-1	23	15.0	15.2	-0.27	12.7	14.8	-2.19
Julius Randle	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.16	20	1	19	14.7	16.1	-1.44	12.0	16.4	-4.43
RJ Barrett	72	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	11	-1	14.3	16.8	-2.50	13.3	12.6	0.67
Jericho Sims	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	10	1	15.6	14.6	1.01	13.0	13.1	-0.11
Quentin Grimes	54	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	14	-7	14.5	15.7	-1.19	12.3	13.8	-1.53
Immanuel Quickley	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	11	-1	16.2	14.0	2.13	13.6	12.5	1.07
Isaiah Hartenstein	57	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	11	-1	14.6	15.6	-1.01	13.1	13.0	0.11
Josh Hart	50	51	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	10	1	15.8	14.3	1.58	13.5	12.6	0.90
Obi Toppin	25	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	20	-19	16.1	14.7	1.44	16.4	12.0	4.43
Miles McBride	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	12.0	15.1	-3.09	17.0	13.0	4.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.7	13.2	-1.44	17.4	14.8	2.54
Vit Krejci	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.7	13.2	-1.44	17.4	14.8	2.54
Bruno Fernando	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.7	13.2	-1.44	17.4	14.8	2.54
Jalen Johnson	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	11.7	13.2	-1.44	17.4	14.8	2.54
AJ Griffin	32	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-18	15	13.0	13.1	-0.13	14.8	15.1	-0.35
Saddiq Bey	37	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-20	19	13.0	13.1	-0.13	15.2	14.9	0.36
Aaron Holiday	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-17	13	12.9	13.1	-0.22	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Bogdan Bogdanovic	51	51	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-13	5	12.7	13.4	-0.63	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Onyeka Okongwu	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-13	5	12.9	13.2	-0.30	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Trae Young	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-8	-5	12.0	15.3	-3.33	15.0	15.1	-0.18
Clint Capela	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-6	-9	13.4	12.7	0.66	15.3	14.8	0.52
John Collins	47	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-3	-15	14.0	12.3	1.75	14.7	15.3	-0.52
Dejounte Murray	72	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	-1	-19	14.0	10.8	3.25	15.0	15.2	-0.22
De'Andre Hunter	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	2	-25	13.3	12.7	0.55	14.8	15.3	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
OKC 127, NYK 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIA 124, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%