NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Excitement	2.4 [1259]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +19.5%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.0 [1237]		LVP	Frank Ntilikina (NYK): -3.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.23	0.00	0.03	18	69%	0.20	0	0.00	9	100%	0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	12	63%	0.08	5	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.08	9	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Abdel Nader	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	9	76%	0.00	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	14	68%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	89%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	11	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.01	4	-0.02	10	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	53%	-0.01	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Kevin Knox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	8	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	12	37%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.0	14.8	29.5	1.8	31.5	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +42.0%

OKC +4.0%

OKC +7.2%

NYK -4.6%

OKC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	13.1	15.4	14.3	124.5	109.0	109.3
season	12.9	14.5		108.9	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.9		112.5	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.5	13.1	13.5	14.4	13.1
NYK	16.8	15.7	16.5	12.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-4	26	12.5	14.1	-1.64	16.2	14.2	1.95
Jerami Grant	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	4	10	12.7	14.0	-1.30	15.4	15.4	0.04
Paul George	65	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	-1	20	12.2	14.6	-2.40	16.4	13.8	2.60
Dennis Schroder	62	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-2	22	13.4	12.7	0.60	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Steven Adams	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	3	12	13.0	13.3	-0.35	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Nerlens Noel	43	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	18	-18	13.5	12.8	0.72	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Hamidou Diallo	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	19	-20	14.6	12.2	2.40	13.8	16.4	-2.60
Patrick Patterson	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.09	6	12	-6	14.1	12.9	1.14	17.3	15.0	2.26
Abdel Nader	43	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	21	-24	14.2	12.3	1.89	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Terrance Ferguson	42	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	18	-18	12.5	13.5	-1.05	15.8	15.1	0.75
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	14.5	13.1	1.44	15.3	15.4	-0.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	20	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-21	24	14.7	15.6	-0.90	15.6	12.4	3.16
Enes Kanter	40	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-18	18	16.1	14.9	1.22	13.0	13.2	-0.19
Mitchell Robinson	30	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-17	16	15.2	15.5	-0.27	14.6	12.4	2.15
Frank Ntilikina	62	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-21	24	14.9	16.2	-1.32	13.6	12.3	1.31
Luke Kornet	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-10	2	17.0	15.1	1.86	10.7	13.5	-2.80
Allonzo Trier	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-10	2	15.6	15.1	0.52	13.7	12.1	1.59
Damyean Dotson	49	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-9	0	13.9	16.9	-3.06	14.0	12.2	1.84
Tim Hardaway Jr.	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	16.2	14.4	1.75	12.1	14.4	-2.31
Emmanuel Mudiay	38	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	3	-24	16.2	14.9	1.32	12.3	13.6	-1.31
Noah Vonleh	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-1	-16	15.5	15.2	0.27	12.4	14.6	-2.15
Kevin Knox	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	3	-24	15.1	15.8	-0.69	12.4	14.1	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
PHX 110, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
HOU 114, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%