NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	138		Excitement	6.9 [529]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): +33.5%
Charlotte Hornets	144		Comeback	1.0 [497]		LVP	AJ Griffin (ATL): -3.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.10	0.00	17	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	65%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.01	17	55%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trae Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	18	56%	0.15	5	-0.11	9	100%	0.04
Jalen Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	63%	0.09	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
AJ Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.23	0.11	0.00	12	93%	0.35	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	-0.00	19	71%	0.30	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.04	-0.02	19	79%	0.35	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.01	13	85%	0.18	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	67%	0.11	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	26.2	14.5	29.5	2.5	34.3	135.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +79.2%

ATL -18.4%

ATL -5.5%

ATL -8.8%

CHA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.1	13.3	14.4	127.8	130.9	113.4
season	13.8	14.0		115.1	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.4	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	15.1	11.8	12.0	13.1
CHA	11.8	12.6	13.5	15.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	46	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	13.6	12.7	0.84	13.4	13.3	0.12
De'Andre Hunter	78	79	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.36	10	-16	26	12.9	13.6	-0.72	13.5	12.9	0.60
Clint Capela	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-8	10	13.5	12.4	1.10	13.3	13.3	0.03
Dejounte Murray	86	88	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-5	4	13.9	9.8	4.10	13.7	11.9	1.84
Onyeka Okongwu	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	2	-10	12.4	13.5	-1.10	13.3	13.3	-0.03
AJ Griffin	39	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	7	-20	12.6	13.4	-0.77	13.1	13.5	-0.42
Trae Young	83	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	12.5	15.1	-2.60	12.5	15.9	-3.33
Bogdan Bogdanovic	70	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-4	2	12.7	13.7	-1.01	13.8	12.5	1.24
Jalen Johnson	30	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	10	-26	13.6	12.9	0.72	13.3	13.3	-0.05

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	93	90	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	1	4	13.6	11.9	1.65	13.4	11.7	1.63
P.J. Washington	80	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	3	0	13.2	13.7	-0.45	13.4	12.1	1.34
Gordon Hayward	76	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	3	0	13.6	12.9	0.70	13.3	12.6	0.72
Mark Williams	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	13.0	13.8	-0.78	13.8	12.0	1.79
Dennis Smith Jr.	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	1	4	13.3	13.4	-0.03	12.2	14.0	-1.80
Bryce McGowens	44	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	0	6	12.5	13.9	-1.47	12.8	13.3	-0.52
Terry Rozier	76	75	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	3	0	13.2	13.6	-0.41	13.2	12.8	0.38
Nick Richards	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	5	-4	13.5	13.2	0.32	12.2	13.6	-1.44
JT Thor	17	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	15.2	13.0	2.18	11.4	13.4	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.71,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.85,0.76,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%
IND 97, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	92.4%
LAC 103, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.4%