NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	5.9 [640]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +24.7%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	1.0 [914]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -15.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	20	63%	0.20	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.07
Jordan Hill	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.04	13	61%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.02	10	76%	0.12	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	13	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.04	7	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Young	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	8	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.08	-0.01	29	62%	0.32	5	-0.07	20	65%	-0.06
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	10	30%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.6	15.6	30.3	3.3	40.6	142.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.9%

SAC +4.3%

SAC +18.4%

SAC +2.2%

SAC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.9	97.0	108.0	105.1
season	14.6	13.9		103.2	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.9		107.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	14.8	15.0	13.3	14.8
SAC	13.3	17.2	13.2	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	58	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-11	11	15.0	14.4	0.63	14.8	12.9	1.99
CJ Miles	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-5	-1	13.7	15.2	-1.57	14.3	13.9	0.39
Glenn Robinson	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	16.1	14.4	1.71	11.3	14.8	-3.53
George Hill	67	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	14.1	16.2	-2.15	14.6	12.8	1.84
Joe Young	39	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	13.9	15.3	-1.35	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Paul George	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-6	1	15.2	13.7	1.57	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Monta Ellis	71	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	15.5	13.1	2.40	14.3	13.3	1.04
Jordan Hill	75	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	14.9	14.4	0.55	13.7	14.8	-1.08
Myles Turner	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	14.4	15.5	-1.16	13.8	14.5	-0.72

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	81	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-5	21	13.7	15.4	-1.65	15.1	13.2	1.96
Willie Cauley-Stein	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-2	15	13.7	15.0	-1.38	14.8	14.6	0.18
Rajon Rondo	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.02	13	-2	15	13.4	15.7	-2.29	14.9	14.4	0.55
Darren Collison	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	13.6	14.5	-0.87	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Omri Casspi	56	55	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	8	-5	14.6	13.3	1.31	15.6	13.8	1.84
James Anderson	44	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	4	3	13.5	14.4	-0.91	13.7	15.6	-1.96
Ben McLemore	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	3	5	13.0	14.7	-1.63	15.4	14.3	1.09
Marco Belinelli	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	14	-17	16.5	12.4	4.07	15.1	14.5	0.55
Kosta Koufos	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.26	-8	19	-27	15.3	13.1	2.17	14.2	15.2	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 83, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.2%
CHI 109, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	94.7%