NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	4.7 [886]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): +8.4%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	1.0 [1303]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	17	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.05	-0.04	11	18%	-0.14	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.06	7	53%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	15	57%	0.13	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	43%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	13	45%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	5	36%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	52%	0.04	4	-0.10	7	43%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.3	29.5	15.8	23.7	2.5	31.6	130.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +49.5%

WAS +3.4%

IND -0.1%

IND -4.2%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.6	87.8	93.3	104.4
season	16.0	15.1		102.3	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	15.2	17.1	16.7	16.4
WAS	16.3	14.8	13.4	18.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	2	-9	16.4	16.3	0.10	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Sarunas Jasikevicius	40	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	16.0	16.7	-0.71	16.9	14.7	2.18
Fred Jones	62	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.49	11	-16	27	16.1	17.0	-0.92	16.4	14.0	2.41
David Harrison	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	6	-17	15.9	16.7	-0.83	14.9	16.1	-1.27
Scot Pollard	48	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	17.7	14.9	2.79	16.0	15.2	0.84
Peja Stojakovic	52	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	15.4	17.7	-2.37	15.1	16.4	-1.22
Anthony Johnson	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	16.7	16.0	0.71	14.7	16.9	-2.18
Danny Granger	62	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.48	3	-8	11	16.3	16.6	-0.30	16.2	14.3	1.96
Stephen Jackson	72	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	16.8	14.8	1.99	15.4	16.8	-1.47

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	82	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-4	13	15.2	19.9	-4.66	16.4	15.8	0.65
Jared Jeffries	54	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-5	15	15.9	15.2	0.69	17.5	14.7	2.87
Antawn Jamison	88	88	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	3	-1	15.6	18.0	-2.42	16.4	13.5	2.93
Brendan Haywood	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-5	15	14.8	17.0	-2.16	17.0	15.2	1.78
Caron Butler	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	7	-9	15.3	16.9	-1.69	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Antonio Daniels	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.47	-8	13	-21	16.8	13.3	3.50	15.8	17.4	-1.60
Etan Thomas	20	20	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	-2	9	18.1	14.9	3.17	18.3	15.8	2.49
Michael Ruffin	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	14.3	15.7	-1.39	10.3	16.8	-6.46
Donell Taylor	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	9	-13	14.4	15.8	-1.46	11.2	17.2	-6.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.8%
CHI 109, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.96,1	95.7%
IND 97, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	95.5%