NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	112		Excitement	9.6 [120]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (DET): +40.4%
Detroit Pistons	118		Comeback	6.7 [230]		LVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): -23.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen McDaniels	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.08	-0.03	7	82%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.18	-0.03	0.15	-0.06	23	45%	0.27	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.05
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	69%	0.18	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	14	64%	-0.16
JT Thor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mark Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	86%	0.10	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.04,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	0.00	19	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Washington	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	15	23%	-0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.29	-0.02	16	61%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.21	0.15	0.02	11	92%	0.37	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.08
Alec Burks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	12	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	14	70%	0.25	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	8	72%	0.11	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.05
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.09
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	29.5	15.4	23.4	1.8	39.2	136.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +65.9%

CHA -10.4%

DET +13.7%

CHA -18.1%

CHA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	13.0	14.0	14.4	104.7	111.3	113.4
season	14.0	14.6		107.8	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.3		117.3	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.5	11.8	13.4	13.5	13.0
DET	13.1	13.5	15.4	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Smith Jr.	45	44	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.17	4	-10	14	12.4	13.5	-1.01	13.5	14.4	-0.93
Gordon Hayward	60	61	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.09	0	-6	6	13.1	12.9	0.20	13.4	14.9	-1.55
JT Thor	22	22	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-7	8	12.3	13.2	-0.95	16.0	13.5	2.56
Mark Williams	5	3	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-8	10	11.4	13.1	-1.71	8.0	14.2	-6.19
Nick Richards	34	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-5	4	12.4	13.3	-0.86	13.9	14.1	-0.24
Mason Plumlee	68	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	13.4	12.3	1.13	14.4	13.4	0.97
Jalen McDaniels	50	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	-2	-2	12.9	13.2	-0.28	14.8	13.4	1.42
P.J. Washington	85	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	1	-8	13.2	12.3	0.95	13.5	16.0	-2.56
Terry Rozier	77	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.46	-6	0	-6	13.3	12.4	0.83	14.3	13.2	1.10
LaMelo Ball	89	90	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	6	-18	13.1	12.4	0.70	14.1	13.8	0.24

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	59	59	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-7	20	13.8	14.3	-0.58	13.5	12.5	0.96
Jaden Ivey	64	64	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.49	12	-6	18	14.3	13.5	0.82	13.4	12.5	0.94
Jalen Duren	72	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-1	8	14.2	13.6	0.63	13.2	12.6	0.59
Bojan Bogdanovic	75	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.42	6	0	6	13.9	14.3	-0.43	13.3	12.3	0.98
Saddiq Bey	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	13.9	14.2	-0.25	13.0	13.1	-0.15
Isaiah Stewart	65	65	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	6	-6	13.5	14.8	-1.32	13.2	12.8	0.32
Hamidou Diallo	46	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.18	0	6	-6	14.4	13.7	0.73	12.2	13.6	-1.43
Isaiah Livers	33	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	11	-16	14.2	13.9	0.32	12.2	13.4	-1.15
Killian Hayes	51	54	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.14	-9	15	-24	14.1	14.0	0.08	12.6	13.5	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.53,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	91.3%
POR 101, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.43,0.58,1	91.0%
IND 87, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.72,1	90.4%