NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	105		Excitement	8.6 [242]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +42.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	35.2 [83]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): -70.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.19	0.20	-0.03	16	70%	0.42	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	13	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.27	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.00	16	42%	-0.20	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.08
Kawhi Leonard	-0.71	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.23,-0.71	-0.14	-0.62	-0.05	26	31%	-0.69	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	14	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	73%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.21,0.01	0.01	0.17	-0.17	-0.01	39	58%	0.24	3	-0.23	15	67%	-0.08
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.20	0.01	15	37%	-0.09	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.4	29.2	15.8	31.2	3.0	33.5	140.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.8%

MIL +13.2%

MIL +43.6%

LAC -36.5%

LAC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.0	14.4	101.9	102.9	113.4
season	14.6	14.0		113.7	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.1	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	15.1	13.7	15.3	14.9
MIL	13.8	14.3	12.9	11.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	52	53	0.57	-1.07	1.64	-0.04	21	-22	43	13.8	16.0	-2.15	14.0	12.0	2.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	68	71	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.66	23	-24	47	14.4	16.0	-1.60	13.6	11.9	1.70
Kawhi Leonard	84	84	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.58	19	-20	39	14.8	15.6	-0.82	13.3	11.9	1.41
Robert Covington	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	16.0	14.8	1.23	15.5	12.8	2.69
Ivica Zubac	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	5	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.31	12.6	13.8	-1.16
Paul George	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.74	9	-10	19	14.7	15.7	-0.99	13.7	11.2	2.53
Nicolas Batum	37	35	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	0.22	-24	23	-47	16.1	14.3	1.82	11.9	13.6	-1.72
Reggie Jackson	54	53	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.24	-18	17	-35	15.5	14.3	1.16	12.1	14.1	-1.97
Norman Powell	67	67	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.22	-27	26	-53	15.6	13.6	1.96	12.0	14.9	-2.91

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	78	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-9	19	12.7	14.0	-1.22	15.1	14.3	0.78
Wesley Matthews	54	54	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.50	8	-7	15	11.8	14.4	-2.67	15.4	14.3	1.12
Joe Ingles	58	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-4	9	13.7	12.2	1.51	14.9	14.9	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.54	-1	2	-3	12.9	13.3	-0.37	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Jevon Carter	38	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.21	23	-22	45	11.7	13.8	-2.08	15.6	14.5	1.11
Jrue Holiday	72	74	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.64	-11	12	-23	13.2	12.8	0.39	15.3	14.0	1.22
George Hill	2	2	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	-5	11	4.5	13.2	-8.72	28.0	14.7	13.35
Grayson Allen	52	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	5	-9	14.0	12.1	1.92	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Khris Middleton	41	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.12	1	0	1	12.8	13.2	-0.40	14.8	15.0	-0.13
Brook Lopez	51	51	-0.82	1.32	-2.13	0.12	-32	33	-65	14.6	11.5	3.17	13.6	16.2	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.49,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.41,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.63,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 92, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	90.0%
SAC 116, CHA 122	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.45,0.45,0.59,1	89.8%
UTA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	89.5%