NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	92		Excitement	7.8 [239]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +23.5%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	15.9 [95]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.12	-0.03	10	57%	0.23	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0.07,0.13,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.03	20	48%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	16	59%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	57%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Moochie Norris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.24	0.24	-0.06	0.29	-0.00	11	46%	0.30	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.01	14	53%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	17	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.03
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.02	16	54%	-0.01	3	-0.16	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	27.2	15.6	24.0	1.8	39.0	136.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.7%

HOU -7.6%

PHX +17.6%

PHX +14.0%

PHX +14.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	13.9	15.5	97.9	100.0	100.9
season	16.3	14.9		104.6	97.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		96.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	15.6	18.8	18.7	16.8
PHX	13.2	14.4	13.3	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	36	37	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-12	22	16.2	17.1	-0.97	14.2	13.6	0.57
Shandon Anderson	52	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-5	8	17.0	16.5	0.44	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Carlos Rogers	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	5	-12	14.0	17.0	-2.99	15.9	13.7	2.14
Maurice Taylor	53	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.51	12	-14	26	16.2	17.5	-1.24	14.5	13.0	1.49
Moochie Norris	45	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	1	-4	17.4	16.1	1.30	14.5	13.3	1.27
Kenny Thomas	45	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	15	-32	17.4	16.2	1.26	13.0	14.6	-1.64
Cuttino Mobley	90	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-5	8	16.8	15.0	1.84	13.7	17.4	-3.73
Steve Francis	90	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.48	-2	0	-2	16.5	22.7	-6.25	13.7	18.7	-4.95
Walt Williams	52	51	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.45	-9	7	-16	17.1	16.4	0.70	13.7	14.1	-0.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	55	55	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.59	14	-12	26	13.5	14.5	-1.01	16.9	16.6	0.34
Tom Gugliotta	51	49	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.40	15	-13	28	13.9	13.8	0.06	17.4	16.0	1.43
Shawn Marion	60	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.68	-7	9	-16	13.6	14.4	-0.75	16.7	17.0	-0.35
Jason Kidd	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	2	-2	13.5	17.6	-4.07	16.8	16.1	0.72
Clifford Robinson	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.51	-4	6	-10	14.0	13.4	0.56	16.7	17.2	-0.57
Rodney Rogers	45	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.21	11	-9	20	13.5	14.2	-0.74	17.0	16.5	0.52
Vinny Del Negro	15	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	0	2	15.3	13.6	1.74	13.9	17.3	-3.37
Elliot Perry	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	0	2	17.6	13.5	4.07	16.1	16.8	-0.72
Jake Tsakalidis	24	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	8	-14	14.5	13.6	0.90	17.4	16.6	0.81
Mario Elie	49	49	-0.68	1.18	-1.85	-0.18	-17	19	-36	14.1	13.7	0.39	16.6	17.0	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	90.9%
MEM 97, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.26,1	90.9%
DAL 103, BOS 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	90.7%