NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	8.0 [245]		MVP	Devin Harris (ATL): +38.0%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	19.1 [108]		LVP	Louis Williams (ATL): -14.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.02	0.01	12	89%	0.28	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	19	53%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.06
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.07,-0.03,-0.09	0.04	-0.14	-0.00	16	56%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Derrick Favors	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.20	0.21	0.03	8	100%	0.46	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.04
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.13	-0.01	10	59%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.18,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.12	0.02	14	47%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	13	48%	-0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.6	24.2	15.6	26.2	1.7	35.0	125.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +64.9%

UTA -3.3%

UTA -5.3%

ATL +9.1%

UTA -15.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.9	15.4	104.4	112.0	104.1
season	16.0	15.1		104.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	17.3	16.0	16.7	16.6
ATL	15.7	15.4	15.3	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	35	37	0.30	-0.80	1.09	-0.03	11	-19	30	16.3	16.8	-0.50	16.8	13.6	3.21
Paul Millsap	66	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-15	22	16.3	17.3	-0.95	16.2	11.0	5.21
Alec Burks	17	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	0	-8	17.0	16.5	0.50	11.0	15.7	-4.71
Earl Watson	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	2	-12	16.6	16.6	-0.03	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Jamaal Tinsley	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-10	12	16.6	16.6	0.03	15.3	14.4	0.90
Al Jefferson	71	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-8	8	16.3	17.5	-1.16	15.3	13.3	2.05
Enes Kanter	16	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	2	-12	17.1	16.5	0.64	10.5	15.7	-5.21
Derrick Favors	29	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	5	-18	17.5	16.2	1.36	12.8	15.8	-2.98
Randy Foye	74	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-8	8	16.5	17.0	-0.50	15.7	11.0	4.71
Gordon Hayward	56	55	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.24	-19	11	-30	16.8	16.3	0.50	13.6	16.8	-3.21

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Johnson	51	52	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.24	23	-15	38	13.6	16.4	-2.79	16.7	16.5	0.23
Louis Williams	65	64	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.20	23	-15	38	14.0	17.0	-3.04	17.0	15.7	1.32
Devin Harris	68	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-3	14	14.7	15.5	-0.77	16.7	16.2	0.50
Al Horford	58	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	8	-8	15.5	13.9	1.60	16.5	16.7	-0.15
Josh Smith	69	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	12	-16	15.3	13.7	1.65	16.1	17.9	-1.77
John Jenkins	22	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	-4	16	13.0	15.5	-2.55	17.0	16.5	0.49
Zaza Pachulia	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	2	4	14.3	15.3	-1.07	17.1	16.2	0.91
Kyle Korver	38	39	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.02	-13	21	-34	16.7	13.6	3.01	16.6	16.6	0.08
Jeff Teague	51	50	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	0.02	-18	26	-44	16.3	13.1	3.15	15.9	17.4	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.4,0.19,0.46,0.69,0.74,1	92.3%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	91.2%
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	91.1%