NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	9.8 [103]		MVP	Daniel Gafford (WAS): +46.9%
Detroit Pistons	117		Comeback	3.1 [640]		LVP	Isaiah Livers (DET): -23.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.47	0.02	0.44	-0.01	5	80%	0.51	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.05	0.00	7	114%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	21	68%	0.33	4	-0.14	5	60%	-0.12
Kristaps Porzingis	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Jordan Goodwin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.18,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	20	55%	0.16	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Nunn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	117%	0.10	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	4	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,0.09,0.07,0.2,0.37	0.37	0.00	0.37	-0.00	20	57%	0.52	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.05
James Wiseman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.03	13	75%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	61%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	9	71%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	-0.00	11	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jared Rhoden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-0.01	12	37%	-0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	23.4	14.5	26.7	1.8	32.2	125.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +65.9%

DET -29.3%

WAS +21.1%

DET -10.7%

WAS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	14.4	128.0	127.2	113.4
season	14.8	14.6		113.4	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.2		117.3	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	15.5	14.2	16.4	15.5
DET	14.2	16.5	16.4	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	51	50	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.77	2	0	2	15.0	16.0	-0.98	15.0	16.5	-1.56
Kyle Kuzma	69	67	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.58	6	-4	10	15.2	16.2	-1.01	15.4	16.3	-0.83
Jordan Goodwin	34	35	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.71	-4	6	-10	13.4	16.6	-3.23	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Delon Wright	60	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-6	14	16.7	13.2	3.44	15.9	15.3	0.60
Bradley Beal	72	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	0	2	16.2	12.8	3.43	15.7	15.5	0.17
Deni Avdija	42	43	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	-4	10	13.0	17.5	-4.40	16.0	15.4	0.57
Corey Kispert	60	62	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	-2	6	15.5	15.3	0.20	15.9	15.1	0.80
Taj Gibson	7	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	7	-12	19.6	15.1	4.44	16.4	15.6	0.82
Kristaps Porzingis	59	58	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.36	4	-2	6	16.4	13.8	2.63	16.3	14.6	1.63
Kendrick Nunn	11	10	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.09	-13	15	-28	14.8	15.5	-0.73	15.1	15.7	-0.64

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	56	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-2	2	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.0	14.7	1.30
Eugene Omoruyi	45	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-5	8	15.6	15.8	-0.19	13.7	17.3	-3.56
Jared Rhoden	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	13.6	16.0	-2.31	13.2	15.8	-2.54
R.J. Hampton	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-4	6	16.1	15.4	0.63	14.5	16.0	-1.47
Isaiah Livers	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	16.1	14.3	1.77	16.6	12.2	4.44
Rodney McGruder	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.63	16.2	14.2	1.98
Cory Joseph	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-5	8	15.4	16.3	-0.88	14.4	17.5	-3.08
Jaden Ivey	60	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	5	-12	15.7	15.6	0.17	15.8	14.8	1.04
James Wiseman	65	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.39	-10	8	-18	15.8	15.4	0.43	16.0	14.3	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.73,0	91.7%
BKN 91, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.42,0	91.4%
LAL 136, SAC 134	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.74,0	90.7%