NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	136		Excitement	10.5 [57]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (LAL): +51.9%
Sacramento Kings	134		Comeback	2.8 [209]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): -22.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.52	0.23	0.30	0.01	11	93%	0.57	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.11
Thomas Bryant	0.44	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.21	0.25	0.01	14	83%	0.48	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,-0.05,-0.21,0.12	0.08	0.07	0.03	28	57%	0.42	4	-0.30	9	89%	0.06
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.10	-0.00	14	61%	0.08	4	-0.13	10	70%	-0.05
Kendrick Nunn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.45	0.45	0.10	0.34	-0.01	21	61%	0.51	3	-0.06	14	86%	0.08
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	8	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.00	9	64%	0.06	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	17	61%	0.14	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KZ Okpala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.10	-0.00	4	79%	0.15	1	-0.19	6	83%	0.02
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23	-0.23	0.05	-0.27	0.01	15	57%	-0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	31.9	14.8	33.3	2.5	40.3	151.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.8%

LAL +42.6%

SAC -15.8%

SAC -10.0%

SAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.0	14.4	133.3	130.1	113.4
season	14.1	13.5		113.1	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.2		115.2	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	15.0	14.6	17.0	15.1
SAC	12.1	12.7	13.1	14.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	82	81	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.48	15	-13	28	14.6	17.0	-2.43	13.1	12.8	0.30
Russell Westbrook	71	71	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-13	28	14.7	15.9	-1.20	13.3	12.4	0.88
Dennis Schroder	81	82	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-11	24	15.2	14.7	0.48	12.7	14.1	-1.36
Thomas Bryant	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	15.5	14.1	1.39	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Patrick Beverley	58	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	1	0	15.2	15.0	0.25	12.2	14.0	-1.78
Max Christie	49	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	2	-2	13.9	16.2	-2.27	14.4	11.7	2.74
Kendrick Nunn	27	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	7	-12	15.4	15.0	0.42	13.6	12.8	0.75
Sterling Brown	3	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	13.3	15.2	-1.82	15.2	12.9	2.33
Wenyen Gabriel	26	29	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	14	-26	15.8	14.9	0.95	12.8	13.1	-0.30
Juan Toscano-Anderson	40	39	-0.66	1.16	-1.83	-0.02	-22	24	-46	16.5	14.2	2.39	12.2	13.5	-1.34

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	74	77	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-6	10	12.7	13.8	-1.04	15.7	13.3	2.36
Kevin Huerter	84	86	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-9	16	12.6	14.8	-2.18	15.3	14.0	1.30
Terence Davis	23	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-3	4	14.0	12.7	1.22	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Matthew Dellavedova	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	0	-2	1.0	13.1	-12.13	0.0	15.1	-15.10
Richaun Holmes	25	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	3	-8	14.3	12.6	1.73	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Keegan Murray	65	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	3	-8	12.9	13.2	-0.28	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Trey Lyles	28	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.50	6	-8	14	14.0	12.7	1.31	14.3	15.4	-1.06
KZ Okpala	16	16	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	2	-6	14.6	12.7	1.91	16.3	14.9	1.44
De'Aaron Fox	82	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	0	-2	13.0	12.9	0.19	15.3	14.2	1.17
Davion Mitchell	37	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	13.2	12.9	0.32	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Harrison Barnes	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	4	-10	12.5	14.9	-2.45	14.9	15.7	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.73,0	91.8%
PHI 80, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.45,0.73,0	90.8%
CLE 104, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.58,0	90.3%