NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	8.6 [241]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +39.5%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	7.3 [319]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -42.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.4	0.26	0.16	0.02	11	84%	0.40	0	0.00	10	100%	0.09
Kawhi Leonard	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.14	0.14	0.04	24	58%	0.26	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.01	7	74%	0.17	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Robert Covington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Luke Kennard	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	16	50%	0.04	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	9	11%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	10	30%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.02	0.03	15	77%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	3	125%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	14	55%	0.13	6	-0.27	5	60%	-0.19
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.43	-0.43	-0.16	-0.26	0.01	19	45%	-0.19	8	-0.24	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.5	15.3	25.6	2.5	36.5	133.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -26.5%

LAC +29.2%

CHI -6.2%

LAC +50.4%

LAC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.9	14.4	106.9	102.0	113.4
season	14.6	14.1		113.7	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		110.9	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.3	13.7	14.2	15.4	14.6
CHI	14.1	14.6	13.5	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	55	56	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-8	21	15.1	14.0	1.08	14.6	13.0	1.51
Norman Powell	67	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-5	15	14.9	14.1	0.87	14.2	13.3	0.90
Kawhi Leonard	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-5	15	14.4	15.8	-1.36	13.8	14.5	-0.71
Ivica Zubac	58	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-10	25	14.6	14.7	-0.07	14.6	12.9	1.63
Paul George	85	85	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	14.5	15.5	-1.03	13.9	13.7	0.16
Nicolas Batum	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	6	-7	14.9	14.3	0.66	13.6	14.2	-0.53
Robert Covington	18	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	12	-19	13.0	15.0	-1.99	13.1	14.0	-0.97
Terance Mann	45	45	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	13	-21	14.2	15.0	-0.74	13.0	14.6	-1.51
Luke Kennard	37	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	16	-27	15.2	14.3	0.83	13.2	14.3	-1.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	17.3	13.6	3.66	16.7	14.5	2.16
Alex Caruso	48	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-10	15	13.0	14.6	-1.60	15.3	14.1	1.20
Ayo Dosunmu	58	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-9	13	13.9	13.9	0.04	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Nikola Vucevic	81	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.43	10	-15	25	13.4	15.6	-2.21	14.9	13.4	1.56
Goran Dragic	12	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.16	-12	7	-19	17.0	13.5	3.54	12.8	14.9	-2.04
Coby White	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-3	1	14.1	13.7	0.36	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Zach LaVine	83	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	2	-9	13.7	14.8	-1.16	14.7	14.5	0.20
Patrick Williams	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	2	-9	13.8	14.0	-0.17	14.9	14.0	0.88
DeMar DeRozan	75	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-7	9	13.7	14.4	-0.73	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Derrick Jones Jr.	34	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	11	-27	15.1	13.3	1.78	13.5	15.1	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.03,0,0.01,0	90.9%
SAS 113, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.26,0	90.7%
TOR 110, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.42,0	90.7%