NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	110		Excitement	8.2 [220]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +53.2%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	6.0 [197]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -11.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53	0.30	0.25	0.02	17	80%	0.53	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Patrick Patterson	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.00	8	87%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.18	-0.05	0.22	-0.01	25	41%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Lou Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.08	0.01	10	52%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	11	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.04	-0.05	16	62%	0.18	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	8	65%	0.15	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.04
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	43%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.13,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	9	63%	0.26	4	-0.32	1	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	55%	0.07	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	26.5	15.4	25.2	1.6	30.4	128.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +17.1%

BOS -11.2%

BOS -36.0%

TOR +81.7%

BOS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	14.3	15.1	115.8	111.5	104.2
season	15.6	14.3		109.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		103.3	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.8	15.2	14.2	16.2	15.8
BOS	12.8	14.2	15.1	15.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	45	46	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-7	17	14.9	16.7	-1.75	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Greivis Vasquez	41	42	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-7	17	15.2	16.3	-1.16	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Kyle Lowry	71	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-1	5	16.2	14.7	1.45	13.7	16.3	-2.67
Tyler Hansbrough	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	5	-7	16.7	15.1	1.59	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Charles Hayes	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	-1	5	15.2	16.1	-0.86	14.5	14.3	0.25
DeMar DeRozan	77	76	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	4	-5	16.4	13.4	3.01	14.7	12.8	1.94
Lou Williams	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	3	-3	14.8	16.9	-2.14	14.4	14.3	0.15
Patrick Patterson	51	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	10	-17	16.7	14.8	1.93	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Greg Stiemsma	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	2	-1	15.0	16.1	-1.18	15.0	14.1	0.90
Terrence Ross	47	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.2	13.5	1.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	4	-11	17.1	14.0	3.09	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Kelly Olynyk	69	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-11	19	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.9	15.6	0.27
Marcus Smart	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-1	-1	13.6	15.0	-1.38	16.2	15.5	0.70
Rajon Rondo	71	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.47	9	-12	21	14.7	13.4	1.26	16.7	13.3	3.46
Marcus Thornton	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	5	-13	13.9	14.6	-0.69	14.0	16.8	-2.81
Avery Bradley	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-7	11	14.9	13.6	1.29	16.3	15.3	0.98
Jeff Green	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-2	1	14.5	13.8	0.72	16.8	13.3	3.53
Brandon Bass	29	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	12	-27	12.8	15.0	-2.16	13.7	16.7	-3.05
Evan Turner	29	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	7	-17	13.4	14.7	-1.32	12.3	17.2	-4.94
Jared Sullinger	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.55	7	-10	17	14.6	13.4	1.20	16.5	13.6	2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	90.9%
SAS 113, DEN 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.26,0	90.3%
OKC 96, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.04,0	90.2%