NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	121		Excitement	11.4 [35]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +69.8%
Boston Celtics	125		Comeback	39.2 [61]		LVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): -39.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.52	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.10	0.41	-0.00	10	68%	0.52	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.33	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.20	0.15	0.02	30	62%	0.41	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.03	-0.00	14	36%	0.03	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	7	14%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.2,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.39	-0.03	-0.34	0.03	15	47%	-0.30	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.34,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.7	0.70	0.18	0.53	0.01	23	65%	0.79	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.07
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.46	0.46	0.13	0.33	-0.01	15	68%	0.50	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.08
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.08	0.01	8	78%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Hauser	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	25	48%	-0.01	6	-0.18	12	92%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	29.3	15.3	26.6	3.4	39.3	0.8	19.8	164.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.5%

BOS +56.0%

LAL -36.3%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	14.4	111.0	114.7	113.4
season	14.1	14.5		113.1	116.3
opponent	14.6	14.2		110.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.5	13.6	14.7	17.0	10.9	14.9
BOS	12.3	16.4	13.5	15.0	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	46	49	0.58	-1.08	1.67	0.41	6	-10	16	14.6	15.1	-0.45	14.9	13.8	1.04
Thomas Bryant	38	38	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.07	12	-16	28	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.0	13.4	2.59
Lonnie Walker IV	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-4	4	13.8	15.5	-1.71	13.7	14.6	-0.84
LeBron James	90	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.34	1	-5	6	15.1	13.8	1.33	14.7	12.4	2.32
Dennis Schroder	77	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.3	14.0	1.26	14.8	13.1	1.71
Patrick Beverley	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	15.5	13.7	1.76	14.7	13.4	1.38
Russell Westbrook	55	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	6	-16	13.4	16.4	-2.97	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Anthony Davis	71	71	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.45	-16	12	-28	15.0	14.6	0.40	13.4	16.0	-2.59
Troy Brown Jr.	57	53	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.61	-14	10	-24	15.6	14.1	1.59	13.0	15.5	-2.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	84	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-7	18	13.9	15.7	-1.81	14.4	16.3	-1.82
Jaylen Brown	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	3	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.86	15.3	13.8	1.50
Jayson Tatum	96	96	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	14.7	11.5	3.21	14.9	14.7	0.22
Grant Williams	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	0	4	13.9	15.3	-1.40	14.9	14.7	0.23
Al Horford	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.51	-5	9	-14	14.9	12.9	2.00	14.9	14.9	-0.07
Luke Kornet	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-2	8	13.1	14.8	-1.71	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Payton Pritchard	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	0	4	14.1	14.3	-0.23	15.2	14.9	0.31
Sam Hauser	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	14.6	14.2	0.34	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Derrick White	71	72	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.20	-4	8	-12	14.9	13.2	1.73	15.3	14.0	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.63,0.45,0.58,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.24,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.65,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.95,0.99,1	88.0%
NYK 124, LAC 128	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,1	87.0%
IND 71, CHA 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	87.0%