NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	10.0 [70]		MVP	James Ennis III (DET): +42.5%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	9.1 [124]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -35.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.22	0.23	0.03	9	111%	0.46	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.00	6	71%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Dwight Buycks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	60%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Moreland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Stanley Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13	-0.02	-0.13	-0.03	21	46%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.05
Ish Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	8	28%	-0.22	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.28,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.10	-0.26	-0.00	11	38%	-0.24	3	-0.12	4	0%	-0.21

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.2,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.33	-0.00	15	50%	0.38	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.08	0.01	19	61%	0.24	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	8	95%	0.25	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	19	52%	0.16	4	-0.24	4	100%	0.01
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	25.3	14.7	24.2	2.5	29.7	2.8	19.4	144.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +96.0%

ORL +1.7%

DET -17.9%

DET -22.6%

DET -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	14.7	100.0	110.6	107.5
season	14.9	14.6		106.4	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.1	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	13.8	13.4	13.4	16.2	15.2	14.3
ORL	13.9	17.2	16.6	16.6	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	23	22	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.15	2	-11	13	16.2	13.7	2.49	16.6	15.9	0.76
Eric Moreland	24	24	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.13	2	-11	13	16.4	13.6	2.78	17.7	15.5	2.22
Dwight Buycks	39	40	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-10	11	15.6	13.5	2.18	16.5	15.7	0.83
Stanley Johnson	40	40	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.28	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.0	0.82	16.2	15.9	0.34
Anthony Tolliver	39	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-6	3	14.8	13.9	0.88	16.2	15.9	0.34
James Ennis III	68	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-5	1	13.7	15.3	-1.68	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Blake Griffin	71	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	0	-9	13.6	15.6	-2.04	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Andre Drummond	81	79	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	4	-17	13.7	16.2	-2.59	15.1	18.9	-3.74
Reggie Bullock	83	82	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.40	-11	2	-13	13.7	16.2	-2.49	15.9	16.6	-0.76
Ish Smith	64	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.54	-7	-2	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.75	15.9	16.2	-0.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	77	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-3	15	15.5	17.6	-2.15	13.7	15.8	-2.08
Evan Fournier	71	74	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-3	15	16.4	15.2	1.21	13.5	16.1	-2.58
Aaron Gordon	70	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-6	21	15.9	16.3	-0.34	13.9	15.1	-1.24
D.J. Augustin	81	84	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-2	13	15.6	17.5	-1.85	14.1	15.0	-0.99
Shelvin Mack	42	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	7	-5	17.7	14.9	2.73	14.9	13.8	1.06
Mario Hezonja	45	44	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	2	5	16.0	16.1	-0.03	15.7	13.2	2.46
Wes Iwundu	15	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	10	-11	17.3	15.8	1.44	15.0	14.2	0.84
Jonathan Isaac	30	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	10	-11	14.8	16.5	-1.69	14.8	14.0	0.79
Jonathon Simmons	62	62	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	18	-27	15.5	16.9	-1.45	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Bismack Biyombo	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.14	-3	12	-15	17.6	15.5	2.15	15.8	13.7	2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.24,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.54,0.65,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.85,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 111, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.54,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.9,0.98,1	88.7%
DEN 107, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,1	88.3%
CHI 96, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.71,0.84,0.97,1	87.4%