NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	128		Excitement	9.2 [156]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +35.5%
San Antonio Spurs	118		Comeback	1.6 [791]		LVP	Jakob Poeltl (SAS): -21.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.35,0.36	0.13	0.23	0.01	18	61%	0.36	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.20	-0.00	7	57%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.06	0.07	20	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Saben Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	3	78%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	8	39%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.00	20	55%	-0.02	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.14	0.04	26	63%	0.31	0	0.00	2	50%	0.04
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	8	74%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	25	55%	0.17	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	8	39%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	8	50%	-0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	24.7	16.4	24.4	1.7	33.2	2.5	15.2	146.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +63.4%

SAS -16.9%

SAS -11.8%

PHX +8.1%

PHX +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	14.4	119.6	112.4	113.4
season	14.5	14.0		114.2	109.2
opponent	14.1	14.5		119.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.1	14.8	14.5	19.9	11.0	15.4
SAS	15.6	12.9	16.2	13.8	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	79	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-4	18	14.9	16.5	-1.55	14.9	13.9	1.06
Mikal Bridges	82	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	4	2	15.4	15.1	0.36	14.9	13.9	0.94
Damion Lee	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	3	4	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.8	14.5	0.31
Bismack Biyombo	32	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	2	6	15.8	15.2	0.61	14.8	14.6	0.24
Torrey Craig	62	60	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	6	-2	15.3	15.4	-0.08	14.7	14.6	0.14
Deandre Ayton	73	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	8	-6	15.5	15.1	0.35	14.7	14.4	0.31
Dario Saric	45	46	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	8	-6	15.7	15.1	0.61	14.3	14.9	-0.59
Josh Okogie	26	25	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	4	2	13.9	15.8	-1.89	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Saben Lee	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	14	-18	16.5	14.9	1.55	13.9	14.9	-1.06
Cameron Johnson	55	54	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	15	-20	16.1	14.5	1.59	14.4	14.8	-0.40

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keita Bates-Diop	54	53	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-23	36	14.1	15.2	-1.05	16.6	14.1	2.51
Blake Wesley	9	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-5	0	13.6	14.7	-1.18	14.7	15.4	-0.72
Jakob Poeltl	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-7	4	14.8	14.3	0.47	15.7	14.8	0.94
Malaki Branham	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	14.7	14.6	0.13	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Jeremy Sochan	78	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-7	4	14.5	15.0	-0.54	15.5	14.9	0.62
Keldon Johnson	80	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	14.6	14.9	-0.32	15.5	14.8	0.77
Zach Collins	40	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	14.3	14.8	-0.47	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Doug McDermott	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	14.7	14.6	0.11	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Stanley Johnson	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	14.7	14.6	0.16	16.5	14.4	2.07
Tre Jones	55	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	2	-14	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.6	16.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 117, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.28,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.09,0.09,0	91.6%
SAS 125, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	91.3%
BOS 98, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.02,0	90.9%