NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	11.5 [31]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +53.1%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	17.9 [135]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (GSW): -16.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Clarke	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.4	0.16	0.27	0.03	10	79%	0.44	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.08	-0.03	5	108%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	0.03
Ja Morant	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.17,-0.04,0.18	-0.00	0.16	-0.02	20	56%	0.46	5	-0.28	12	58%	0.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.02	11	57%	0.18	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Desmond Bane	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.08	-0.01	-0.02	-0.12	17	50%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.06
Tyus Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Roddy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ziaire Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.01	9	50%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.20	0.32	-0.01	19	69%	0.61	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.10
Jordan Poole	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.45	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.00	14	66%	0.53	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.01	-0.05	6	93%	0.13	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.07	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.11
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.02	23	50%	0.11	2	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	7	57%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	2.8	31.1	15.4	34.5	3.6	46.2	164.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +30.2%

MEM -18.7%

GSW +48.6%

MEM -17.2%

GSW +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	14.4	117.6	115.1	113.4
season	13.9	13.9		113.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.6	14.3	13.4	15.8	14.0
GSW	15.0	12.9	13.3	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson Jr.	59	63	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-9	16	13.6	14.6	-1.01	14.3	12.7	1.61
Tyus Jones	40	43	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.22	-1	-1	0	14.3	13.8	0.46	13.3	14.0	-0.71
David Roddy	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-2	2	13.6	14.1	-0.48	15.8	13.5	2.28
Santi Aldama	44	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-4	6	14.6	13.6	0.96	12.6	14.5	-1.91
Xavier Tillman	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	3	-8	14.7	13.7	0.98	13.4	13.8	-0.32
Desmond Bane	74	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.57	9	-11	20	13.2	16.1	-2.88	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Ja Morant	76	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-3	4	13.7	14.8	-1.11	13.7	13.5	0.27
Dillon Brooks	66	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.53	1	-3	4	13.7	14.6	-0.96	14.0	13.2	0.75
Ziaire Williams	49	48	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.20	-19	17	-36	15.5	12.6	2.91	13.4	13.9	-0.48
Brandon Clarke	66	71	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.73	-5	3	-8	14.0	14.0	0.03	13.9	13.3	0.63

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	67	68	1.22	-0.72	1.94	0.78	15	-13	28	13.8	13.5	0.22	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Klay Thompson	76	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-4	10	13.5	14.1	-0.63	14.0	14.1	-0.17
Donte DiVincenzo	74	71	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-5	12	13.4	14.3	-0.86	14.7	12.4	2.30
Anthony Lamb	41	39	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	13.5	13.8	-0.27	14.9	13.5	1.38
Draymond Green	72	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	0	2	13.9	13.1	0.78	13.8	14.6	-0.85
Stephen Curry	77	72	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	5	-8	13.8	13.2	0.60	14.4	13.1	1.35
JaMychal Green	25	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	4	-6	13.0	13.9	-0.84	12.9	14.4	-1.48
Kevon Looney	43	40	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	-0.36	-6	8	-14	13.0	14.2	-1.22	14.2	13.9	0.30
Jonathan Kuminga	55	52	-0.76	1.26	-2.02	-0.29	-16	18	-34	14.6	12.7	1.91	13.1	15.0	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.37,0.57,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.42,1	91.0%
NOP 90, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	90.8%
MIN 98, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.85,1	90.6%