inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 110 Excitement8.6 [247] MVPBennedict Mathurin (IND): +61.2%
Indiana Pacers 116 Comeback15.6 [81] LVPZach LaVine (CHI): -45.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.520,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.520.220.28-0.012170%0.531-0.015100%0.05
Nikola Vucevic0.290,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.290.080.220.011471%0.343-0.0500%0.00
Ayo Dosunmu0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.050.08-0.03744%0.092-0.03250%-0.01
Patrick Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01558%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Andre Drummond-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.03454%0.031-0.04520%-0.06
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.01956%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Coby White-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.011136%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.05-0.16-0.07340%0.072-0.214100%0.01
Zach LaVine-0.450,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.41,-0.45-0.16-0.31-0.021440%-0.136-0.32786%0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.42,0.610.610.150.480.011763%0.6100.00771%-0.07
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.090.011458%0.181-0.025100%0.03
T.J. McConnell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.10-0.020.011469%0.132-0.061100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.050.002157%0.0600.00450%0.01
Terry Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.001146%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Isaiah Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Trevelin Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.01-0.03717%-0.091-0.01475%-0.05
Chris Duarte0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.050.031141%-0.072-0.055100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.426.714.732.11.735.3140.4
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -15.3%
IND +7.5%
IND +10.0%
IND +47.5%
IND +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIINDNBACHIINDNBA
this game14.414.114.4108.9114.9113.4
season14.113.7112.0113.3
opponent14.414.9116.4110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.012.317.315.114.4
IND14.716.012.713.214.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Williams57550.12-0.620.730.062-81015.313.22.0415.013.11.93
Ayo Dosunmu52520.10-0.600.70-0.024-101414.114.7-0.6214.913.31.58
Derrick Jones Jr.42430.03-0.530.55-0.032-81014.114.5-0.4014.813.71.10
Andre Drummond1212-0.11-0.390.270.09-71-817.414.03.4510.014.7-4.70
Nikola Vucevic7070-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.482-81013.715.9-2.2014.114.10.01
Zach LaVine8283-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.36-3-3014.215.3-1.0913.716.2-2.54
Coby White4951-0.530.03-0.57-0.30-82-1013.814.9-1.0913.514.8-1.31
DeMar DeRozan8179-0.590.09-0.68-0.33-93-1215.011.73.2714.512.81.75
Alex Caruso6060-0.630.13-0.76-0.25-137-2014.014.9-0.9313.714.8-1.04

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bennedict Mathurin72720.62-0.120.740.369-31214.114.10.0014.214.8-0.54
T.J. McConnell86860.60-0.100.710.349-31214.114.3-0.1514.314.9-0.65
Myles Turner66670.58-0.080.660.4351413.914.5-0.6214.613.90.70
Buddy Hield80810.53-0.030.550.3851414.014.7-0.7314.613.51.09
Aaron Nesmith59590.460.040.430.4415-414.214.00.2414.813.80.97
Isaiah Jackson1817-0.000.50-0.51-0.0624-212.614.5-1.8613.214.6-1.37
Terry Taylor4443-0.010.51-0.51-0.0933014.014.2-0.2514.414.4-0.01
Trevelin Queen1213-0.040.54-0.58-0.0406-614.114.1-0.0613.514.5-0.96
Jalen Smith1212-0.050.55-0.61-0.02-17-817.113.73.3414.014.4-0.43
Chris Duarte5655-0.190.69-0.89-0.11-39-1214.513.70.8514.314.4-0.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 88, ATL 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.71,192.8%
LAC 102, MEM 1040.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,191.4%
BOS 98, MEM 1010.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.42,191.2%