NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	10.1 [79]		MVP	Steven Adams (MEM): +27.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	115		Comeback	4.9 [431]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -33.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.08	0.02	6	121%	0.30	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	2	125%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.04,0.08,0.08	-0.06	0.12	-0.02	15	56%	0.30	6	-0.22	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Love	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	40%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	19	59%	0.14	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Cedi Osman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.34	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.34	0.08	-0.40	0.02	17	60%	-0.28	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.22	0.01	8	72%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.04	-0.00	8	100%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	-0.00	17	66%	0.26	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.14,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	19	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.03
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	13	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	12	33%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	29.3	15.2	26.6	2.3	26.3	125.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -26.7%

MEM +15.9%

MEM +5.2%

MEM +49.2%

MEM +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	14.1	14.4	118.8	118.6	113.4
season	15.1	13.9		114.0	113.4
opponent	14.3	14.7		110.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	17.0	13.8	17.6	15.8
MEM	13.3	10.7	16.2	16.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Stevens	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.20	-3	2	-5	16.7	15.3	1.38	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Ricky Rubio	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.14	-4	3	-7	16.6	15.5	1.14	12.5	14.6	-2.06
Jarrett Allen	71	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-10	19	15.7	16.0	-0.27	14.7	12.5	2.12
Raul Neto	12	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	1	-3	17.2	15.6	1.61	15.9	13.8	2.06
Kevin Love	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	10	-21	15.2	15.9	-0.69	10.5	15.1	-4.62
Cedi Osman	14	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	10	-21	18.4	15.3	3.12	10.0	14.7	-4.73
Darius Garland	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.61	10	-11	21	15.3	17.8	-2.53	15.0	10.5	4.50
Isaac Okoro	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.60	5	-6	11	15.1	17.2	-2.12	14.6	12.9	1.68
Caris LeVert	81	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-1	1	16.0	14.7	1.22	14.2	13.4	0.78
Evan Mobley	78	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.64	2	-3	5	15.5	17.0	-1.53	14.1	14.1	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	66	65	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.53	7	-6	13	13.9	14.5	-0.53	16.2	14.7	1.50
Jaren Jackson Jr.	58	59	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-8	17	13.4	15.1	-1.69	16.5	14.6	1.90
Dillon Brooks	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.64	-4	5	-9	14.5	13.3	1.26	14.9	17.3	-2.37
Brandon Clarke	41	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-8	17	12.7	15.1	-2.40	16.9	15.0	1.91
Ja Morant	65	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.68	-13	14	-27	15.0	12.3	2.61	14.9	17.5	-2.59
John Konchar	28	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-12	25	11.4	15.2	-3.85	17.9	14.9	3.06
Steven Adams	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.40	-8	9	-17	15.1	12.7	2.40	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Tyus Jones	37	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.24	8	-7	15	13.4	14.5	-1.07	16.9	15.1	1.81
Santi Aldama	39	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	9	-17	15.1	13.4	1.69	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Ziaire Williams	33	32	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.10	-8	9	-17	14.9	13.7	1.28	14.9	16.2	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.45,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.32,0.27,1	89.3%
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	88.9%
CHI 98, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.8,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.42,1	88.3%