NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	9.4 [105]		MVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): +30.7%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	3.2 [378]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): -20.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.03
Tyrus Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	76%	0.12	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.02	16	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	20	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	0.02	-0.12	0.00	10	57%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.07
Drew Gooden	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	15	26%	-0.15	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	9	11%	-0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.25	0.01	14	59%	0.35	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.07
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.06	0.01	14	75%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	13	38%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	14	32%	-0.13	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	28.2	16.8	26.1	2.3	34.5	134.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +59.9%

NYK +10.4%

CHI -27.8%

NYK +11.8%

CHI -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	14.0	15.5	95.1	101.0	106.4
season	14.8	13.8		106.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	12.2	16.4	14.1	14.3
NYK	13.6	14.0	14.2	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	48	45	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-9	14	12.5	15.8	-3.24	13.3	14.5	-1.17
Drew Gooden	31	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-6	8	12.3	15.1	-2.85	12.2	14.7	-2.48
Joakim Noah	58	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-8	12	15.5	12.6	2.93	15.7	11.9	3.80
Thabo Sefolosha	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	0	-4	16.6	14.0	2.60	12.6	14.1	-1.56
Kirk Hinrich	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	2	-8	12.6	17.3	-4.69	13.2	15.4	-2.28
Luol Deng	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-2	0	14.0	15.6	-1.60	14.0	13.8	0.20
Derrick Rose	75	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	14.9	12.5	2.41	14.5	12.7	1.70
Ben Gordon	72	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	2	-8	14.7	13.2	1.47	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Tyrus Thomas	68	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.37	-9	5	-14	15.7	11.4	4.28	14.5	12.8	1.66

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	1	2	14.5	12.7	1.82	14.2	14.5	-0.28
Quentin Richardson	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	-1	6	14.4	12.6	1.78	14.8	12.5	2.29
Wilson Chandler	41	41	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	1	2	14.9	13.4	1.51	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Jared Jeffries	67	68	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	15.2	11.6	3.61	15.1	12.7	2.42
David Lee	71	72	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	8	-12	14.8	12.0	2.77	14.9	12.8	2.02
Tim Thomas	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-5	14	11.5	15.2	-3.69	12.9	14.9	-2.05
Nate Robinson	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	-4	12	12.3	15.3	-3.05	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Danilo Gallinari	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	1	2	12.8	14.7	-1.85	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Al Harrington	63	67	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	5	-6	13.3	15.2	-1.93	13.5	15.7	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.8,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.6,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.59,1	92.1%
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	90.7%
DET 79, MIN 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.42,1	90.7%