NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	8.1 [328]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +35.0%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	8.3 [162]		LVP	Goran Dragic (CHI): -10.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.35	0.16	0.18	-0.02	28	60%	0.46	3	-0.11	7	57%	-0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.06	0.05	-0.11	-0.00	11	59%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	14	54%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.27	0.27	0.01	0.26	-0.00	20	49%	0.36	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.05	-0.02	11	67%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	13	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	64%	0.09	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	32.2	14.7	25.4	2.4	27.4	127.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.0%

WAS +18.4%

WAS +13.2%

CHI -16.2%

WAS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	14.4	102.1	104.2	113.4
season	14.1	14.8		112.0	113.4
opponent	14.2	14.9		114.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	12.8	14.0	15.8	14.3
WAS	18.4	14.9	13.2	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-4	5	13.2	14.5	-1.28	14.9	16.1	-1.12
Derrick Jones Jr.	38	36	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-8	13	13.9	14.5	-0.65	16.2	15.7	0.48
Goran Dragic	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-2	1	13.4	14.7	-1.28	16.2	15.7	0.44
Coby White	57	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-9	15	13.5	15.5	-2.07	16.0	15.6	0.35
Zach LaVine	80	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-8	13	14.5	13.1	1.45	16.2	14.1	2.16
Ayo Dosunmu	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	1	-5	14.7	13.6	1.09	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Nikola Vucevic	76	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	14.5	13.4	1.14	16.1	15.1	0.95
Patrick Williams	64	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	6	-15	14.5	13.8	0.66	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Alex Caruso	54	55	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.36	-16	13	-29	14.9	13.5	1.40	15.7	16.1	-0.41

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	75	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-8	19	15.5	17.1	-1.58	14.5	13.6	0.84
Monte Morris	59	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-4	11	15.6	16.3	-0.66	14.2	14.4	-0.26
Taj Gibson	50	47	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	-3	9	15.8	15.9	-0.05	14.9	13.7	1.21
Deni Avdija	71	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	2	-1	15.6	16.6	-1.05	14.6	13.6	0.97
Delon Wright	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.8	2.18	14.5	14.1	0.45
Corey Kispert	55	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-6	15	14.6	17.6	-2.96	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Jordan Goodwin	28	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	0	3	14.2	16.6	-2.38	14.2	14.3	-0.11
Anthony Gill	44	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	6	-9	16.2	15.6	0.63	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Will Barton	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	6	-9	19.7	15.2	4.51	13.4	14.4	-1.05
Rui Hachimura	38	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	15	-27	17.4	14.9	2.49	14.0	14.5	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	92.2%
MEM 106, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	91.9%
POR 113, ATL 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.88,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.86,0.98,1	91.6%