NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	7.6 [353]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +25.3%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	4.7 [225]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -14.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	9	62%	0.17	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Andrew Harrison	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	87%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	16	66%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jarell Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	13	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	12	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	16	44%	-0.08	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.17	0.02	12	71%	0.35	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Austin Rivers	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	16	72%	0.25	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	10	58%	0.12	2	-0.06	11	36%	-0.18
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.05	13	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	33%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	35.4	15.4	26.4	1.8	49.3	155.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.7%

MEM -7.2%

LAC +6.7%

MEM -14.3%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	14.8	109.3	118.6	107.7
season	16.1	15.0		106.4	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	14.7	15.2	16.9	15.6
LAC	13.9	14.7	14.8	13.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	68	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-13	17	14.5	18.1	-3.67	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	43	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	15.4	15.7	-0.22	14.2	14.0	0.21
Jarell Martin	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	1	-11	17.0	15.1	1.88	15.0	13.8	1.21
Zach Randolph	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-7	5	15.9	15.4	0.53	14.9	13.6	1.31
Troy Daniels	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-13	17	15.1	16.1	-1.01	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Vince Carter	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-9	9	15.0	16.6	-1.66	13.6	15.1	-1.53
Tony Allen	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	2	-13	16.7	14.0	2.71	14.8	13.1	1.66
Mike Conley	72	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	15.9	14.7	1.20	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Marc Gasol	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.07	-18	9	-27	15.7	15.1	0.59	13.8	15.2	-1.38

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	52	52	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-4	17	14.8	13.3	1.56	15.3	15.8	-0.48
DeAndre Jordan	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-1	11	14.0	14.7	-0.79	15.1	17.2	-2.09
JJ Redick	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-4	17	13.8	15.2	-1.36	15.2	16.7	-1.46
Austin Rivers	87	86	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	2	5	14.4	11.6	2.81	16.0	12.3	3.72
Raymond Felton	75	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	0	9	13.7	15.7	-2.07	16.0	14.1	1.88
Luc Mbah a Moute	56	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	6	-3	13.7	14.7	-1.01	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Marreese Speights	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	6	-3	14.1	14.1	-0.01	16.8	15.1	1.73
Wesley Johnson	14	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	12	-15	13.8	14.2	-0.40	18.1	15.2	2.87
Alan Anderson	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	15	-21	15.6	13.9	1.67	13.9	15.8	-1.88
Brandon Bass	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	16	-23	16.0	13.9	2.09	13.5	15.8	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.95,1	92.3%
POR 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.88,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.95,1	91.8%
DEN 95, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.96,1	91.8%