inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 104 Excitement8.9 [186] MVPGrayson Allen (MIL): +35.4%
Toronto Raptors 101 Comeback1.5 [568] LVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -44.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grayson Allen0.350,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.350.070.320.03962%0.381-0.02875%-0.00
Pat Connaughton0.080,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.01-0.001262%0.0800.0000%0.00
MarJon Beauchamp0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.02683%0.113-0.0600%0.00
AJ Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.00-0.00462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.000.00550%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.04-0.011644%0.064-0.1000%0.00
Brook Lopez-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.011139%-0.042-0.0510%-0.02
Jevon Carter-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0150%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.440,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.44-0.15-0.290.001853%-0.1012-0.352171%-0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.110.110.020.130.042345%0.1100.003100%0.01
Juancho Hernangomez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.050.061946%0.011-0.02333%-0.01
O.G. Anunoby0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.01-0.041839%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01828%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Malachi Flynn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00520%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11-0.110.06-0.110.062352%-0.071-0.048100%0.04
Pascal Siakam0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.18-0.14-0.071827%-0.183-0.07475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.53.327.614.827.23.344.92.410.3162.3
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +63.7%
MIL +2.4%
MIL +31.6%
TOR -42.5%
TOR -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game13.314.314.490.487.8113.4
season14.014.7113.8114.0
opponent14.514.2112.2111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL14.214.113.711.513.813.3
TOR14.015.914.012.916.214.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Giannis Antetokounmpo88860.74-0.240.990.1620-173712.316.6-4.2315.211.93.25
AJ Green27270.54-0.040.57-0.0821-183911.913.8-1.8716.413.72.67
Brook Lopez85860.51-0.010.520.0117-143112.715.1-2.4114.713.21.55
Pat Connaughton88870.440.060.380.266-3913.313.4-0.1614.115.0-0.93
Grayson Allen74760.410.090.320.178-51312.415.0-2.6514.114.8-0.78
Bobby Portis67690.260.240.020.70-1518-3314.811.33.4514.114.6-0.50
MarJon Beauchamp44430.090.41-0.320.30-710-1714.412.71.7214.814.10.74
Sandro Mamukelashvili21210.020.48-0.470.13-47-1113.013.4-0.4514.714.30.41
Thanasis Antetokounmpo22-0.000.50-0.500.18-69-159.513.4-3.894.514.5-10.00
Jordan Nwora2828-0.140.64-0.770.30-1518-3316.012.53.5412.814.8-2.04
Jevon Carter5150-0.370.87-1.23-0.07-1013-2314.312.51.7512.915.4-2.46

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juancho Hernangomez11100.12-0.620.74-0.035-81312.514.5-1.9717.512.94.58
O.G. Anunoby9192-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-1-114.314.4-0.1113.114.3-1.23
Precious Achiuwa2524-0.12-0.380.250.02-52-715.514.01.5213.913.20.70
Malachi Flynn2523-0.15-0.350.200.03-63-916.113.82.2414.113.11.01
Fred VanVleet102103-0.22-0.280.07-0.396-91514.116.3-2.2313.214.2-0.94
Scottie Barnes7578-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-2114.015.0-1.0613.413.10.35
Gary Trent Jr.9999-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.411-4514.215.1-0.9213.313.7-0.42
Pascal Siakam8991-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.441-4513.916.0-2.1112.915.0-2.07
Chris Boucher4845-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-118-1915.113.81.3613.113.5-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 114, MEM 1100.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.28,090.0%
MIA 120, DET 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,089.0%
MEM 108, LAC 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.58,088.9%