NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	130		Excitement	10.0 [89]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +88.9%
Indiana Pacers	131		Comeback	4.5 [276]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -21.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.45	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.37,0.45	0.28	0.23	0.06	25	78%	0.60	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.13
Reggie Jackson	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	7	76%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.05
Luke Kennard	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	5	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	-0.00	5	60%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	17	59%	0.18	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Norman Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	0.09	-0.16	0.02	11	62%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.35,0.45,0.89	0.89	0.20	0.72	0.02	13	73%	0.89	0	0.00	7	86%	0.12
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.41	0.41	0.24	0.18	0.01	17	77%	0.49	2	-0.08	10	100%	0.12
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.13	-0.00	9	84%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	54%	0.09	2	-0.04	10	70%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	16	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	7	64%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	5	60%	-0.02	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	27.3	14.5	28.3	2.3	39.4	138.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +7.5%

IND +29.7%

IND +27.0%

LAC -6.9%

LAC -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	13.4	14.4	127.5	127.2	113.4
season	14.6	13.7		113.7	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		116.4	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	15.0	15.3	11.9	14.7
IND	12.2	15.0	13.6	12.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	53	54	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-7	13	13.5	15.9	-2.41	13.0	13.9	-0.92
John Wall	34	36	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-1	1	13.3	15.4	-2.04	12.6	13.9	-1.28
Terance Mann	22	23	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-2	3	12.7	15.2	-2.56	12.4	13.7	-1.27
Ivica Zubac	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-1	1	16.0	13.2	2.81	14.7	12.1	2.60
Robert Covington	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	13.9	14.9	-0.97	13.1	13.5	-0.45
Luke Kennard	45	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-3	5	13.6	15.5	-1.94	12.6	14.1	-1.54
Marcus Morris Sr.	60	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	0	-1	15.3	13.8	1.53	13.6	13.2	0.41
Paul George	83	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	3	-7	14.8	14.0	0.84	13.9	11.2	2.77
Reggie Jackson	68	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	0	-1	15.4	13.3	2.04	13.9	12.6	1.28
Kawhi Leonard	73	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	4	-9	15.3	13.1	2.26	13.0	14.4	-1.34

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	70	71	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.50	8	-7	15	13.7	12.8	0.93	15.1	13.7	1.36
Tyrese Haliburton	67	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	-2	5	13.7	12.9	0.81	15.1	13.8	1.28
Andrew Nembhard	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-4	9	13.0	14.4	-1.34	15.3	13.1	2.26
Buddy Hield	69	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	-1	3	13.9	12.5	1.37	14.8	14.3	0.52
Aaron Nesmith	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-6	13	13.8	12.5	1.29	14.9	14.1	0.88
Oshae Brissett	12	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	4	-7	16.0	13.1	2.92	15.8	14.5	1.33
T.J. McConnell	39	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	5	-9	12.1	14.2	-2.12	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Chris Duarte	33	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	3	-5	12.7	13.7	-1.02	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Jalen Smith	33	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	6	-11	12.8	13.7	-0.93	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Bennedict Mathurin	47	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	7	-13	13.3	13.6	-0.30	13.6	15.5	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.14,0.15,1	90.6%
CHI 78, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	90.3%
BOS 87, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,0.42,1	90.2%