NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	108		Excitement	8.3 [291]		MVP	Nic Claxton (BKN): +19.9%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	4.9 [617]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -39.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.01	9	85%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.2	0.12	0.10	0.03	22	62%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.27,0.19	0.06	0.14	0.01	17	60%	0.36	4	-0.17	9	100%	0.06
Patty Mills	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	3	133%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.15	0.01	7	71%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.11	0.02	16	55%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	55%	0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	10	20%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,-0.39	-0.39	-0.01	-0.39	-0.02	26	43%	-0.39	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	27.5	14.8	26.6	2.6	30.2	125.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +85.1%

BKN +6.1%

ATL -21.4%

ATL -22.6%

BKN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	14.4	112.5	110.3	113.4
season	14.4	13.8		113.7	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.8		114.9	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.6	15.9	13.0	16.2	14.6
ATL	14.1	16.1	15.8	15.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	70	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-9	19	14.1	16.0	-1.98	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Kyrie Irving	75	77	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-6	13	14.3	15.8	-1.50	15.0	16.3	-1.33
Kevin Durant	72	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-8	17	14.2	15.6	-1.37	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Nic Claxton	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-4	9	14.4	15.1	-0.72	15.4	14.7	0.70
Yuta Watanabe	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	4	-7	15.7	13.6	2.03	15.2	15.3	-0.17
T.J. Warren	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.51	-5	6	-11	14.7	14.5	0.24	15.3	15.1	0.21
Edmond Sumner	8	7	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	-5	11	15.0	14.6	0.44	18.0	15.0	2.97
Ben Simmons	53	53	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	5	-9	14.5	14.8	-0.31	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Patty Mills	22	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.9	14.2	1.71	16.2	15.0	1.21
Seth Curry	13	13	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	13	-25	16.2	14.3	1.89	15.4	15.2	0.16

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	16	16	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.09	14	-15	29	15.1	15.3	-0.22	16.9	14.1	2.81
Aaron Holiday	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-4	7	14.8	16.3	-1.52	14.9	13.9	0.96
John Collins	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.49	7	-8	15	15.4	14.9	0.50	14.8	14.1	0.69
Trent Forrest	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	6	-13	16.4	14.9	1.45	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Onyeka Okongwu	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-2	3	14.8	16.8	-2.07	14.4	15.2	-0.76
Bogdan Bogdanovic	56	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-5	9	15.6	14.8	0.81	15.3	13.7	1.56
Jalen Johnson	50	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	9	-19	15.9	14.6	1.35	14.9	14.3	0.54
Dejounte Murray	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	0	-1	14.9	16.8	-1.91	14.4	15.4	-0.94
AJ Griffin	53	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.03	-16	15	-31	15.5	15.0	0.49	13.0	16.5	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.08,0	92.3%
DET 125, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.7%
POR 94, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.6%