NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	7.5 [422]		MVP	Jonathan Kuminga (GSW): +37.4%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.2 [884]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -21.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JT Thor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	14	50%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09
Mark Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
LaMelo Ball	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,-0.05,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.15	-0.05	25	38%	-0.20	3	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	-0.22	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	18	47%	-0.11	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.37	0.37	0.14	0.24	0.00	6	93%	0.37	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Jordan Poole	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.08	-0.05	20	52%	0.19	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.06	0.02	22	59%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	7	35%	-0.04	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.16	-0.01	7	53%	-0.00	3	-0.18	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.5	14.6	27.3	2.6	31.4	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +30.0%

GSW +20.4%

CHA -6.3%

GSW +3.2%

GSW +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	13.5	13.6	14.4	98.1	103.8	113.4
season	14.0	13.9		107.8	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.6	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.2	11.9	14.5	13.5	13.5
GSW	12.5	12.5	13.8	15.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Williams	38	38	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-6	7	13.8	13.3	0.44	15.5	12.5	2.97
Jalen McDaniels	57	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	14.0	12.9	1.12	13.9	13.2	0.79
JT Thor	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.1	1.37	15.4	12.8	2.62
Theo Maledon	23	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	6	-17	14.8	13.1	1.72	14.3	13.4	0.94
LaMelo Ball	79	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-3	1	13.3	13.9	-0.61	13.6	13.4	0.21
Terry Rozier	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-8	11	13.3	13.9	-0.56	12.9	15.5	-2.58
P.J. Washington	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.37	-2	-3	1	13.2	14.2	-1.00	12.6	16.2	-3.59
Gordon Hayward	82	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	6	-17	12.9	15.5	-2.61	13.8	12.8	1.00
Mason Plumlee	68	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	1	-7	13.4	13.6	-0.26	12.6	15.2	-2.55

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	85	85	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.45	11	-6	17	13.1	15.4	-2.26	13.8	12.2	1.63
Draymond Green	80	81	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	0	5	13.1	15.1	-2.00	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Donte DiVincenzo	67	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	1	3	12.7	15.0	-2.27	13.2	13.9	-0.65
Jordan Poole	82	83	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	12.9	15.7	-2.77	12.8	15.7	-2.88
Jonathan Kuminga	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	5	-5	14.9	12.4	2.55	12.9	14.0	-1.11
Anthony Lamb	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-4	13	14.0	13.3	0.63	15.7	12.2	3.46
Moses Moody	28	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	4	-3	15.4	12.9	2.53	14.1	13.3	0.85
James Wiseman	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	15.7	13.1	2.60	15.2	13.1	2.10
Kevon Looney	42	43	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	9	-13	12.4	14.4	-2.00	12.2	14.3	-2.08
Ty Jerome	42	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	8	-11	15.0	12.6	2.45	13.9	13.2	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.76,0.68,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.45,0.52,0.71,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 126, IND 133	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.71,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.83,0.98,1	92.8%
MIA 86, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.95,1	92.2%
CHA 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.99,1	92.2%