NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	125		Excitement	11.6 [26]		MVP	Landry Shamet (PHX): +40.3%
Denver Nuggets	128		Comeback	14.8 [155]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -30.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.4	0.18	0.21	-0.01	20	70%	0.45	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Damion Lee	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.09	-0.02	8	90%	0.30	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	45%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Devin Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.09	-0.01	8	81%	0.14	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	17	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.12
Deandre Ayton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	18	55%	0.15	6	-0.24	4	75%	-0.04
Mikal Bridges	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3	0.01	-0.29	0.02	12	52%	-0.04	2	-0.26	1	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.13	0.02	25	69%	0.41	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.02
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.02	19	57%	0.31	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	18	62%	0.24	3	-0.10	9	56%	-0.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	10	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Zeke Nnaji	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	23%	-0.05	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	31.4	15.4	26.7	3.7	44.5	1.8	18.3	169.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -12.9%

DEN +13.9%

DEN +20.1%

DEN +31.8%

PHX -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	14.4	116.8	118.5	113.4
season	14.5	14.7		114.2	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.3	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	17.3	14.0	14.8	15.1	11.7	14.9
DEN	14.7	16.7	13.4	13.7	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	19	19	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-11	19	16.6	14.6	2.02	17.4	14.1	3.34
Damion Lee	59	57	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.00	8	-11	19	15.7	13.9	1.85	15.5	13.7	1.86
Bismack Biyombo	28	26	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.09	10	-13	23	17.2	14.1	3.06	17.1	13.9	3.17
Ish Wainright	23	21	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.14	7	-10	17	15.0	14.9	0.05	15.4	14.5	0.89
Devin Booker	8	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	6	-15	16.0	14.8	1.17	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Chris Paul	82	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.36	-1	-2	1	14.8	15.4	-0.63	14.6	15.0	-0.48
Landry Shamet	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.60	3	-6	9	14.7	15.6	-0.91	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Torrey Craig	75	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	12	-27	14.1	16.7	-2.57	14.0	16.3	-2.32
Deandre Ayton	79	82	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.32	-13	10	-23	14.1	17.2	-3.06	13.9	17.1	-3.17
Mikal Bridges	82	85	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.48	-13	10	-23	14.9	15.0	-0.11	14.2	16.5	-2.30

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	88	85	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.26	18	-15	33	14.2	16.6	-2.37	14.4	17.1	-2.74
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	83	81	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.30	16	-13	29	14.1	16.5	-2.41	14.4	16.5	-2.04
Nikola Jokic	94	90	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-9	21	14.2	17.8	-3.58	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Jamal Murray	89	88	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.55	2	1	1	14.4	15.7	-1.30	14.9	14.8	0.09
Michael Porter Jr.	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-8	19	14.5	14.9	-0.41	14.8	15.1	-0.34
Christian Braun	22	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	9	-15	16.1	14.3	1.85	17.3	14.3	2.99
Zeke Nnaji	14	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	12	-21	17.8	14.2	3.58	16.1	14.7	1.36
Bones Hyland	25	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.11	-13	16	-29	16.5	14.1	2.41	16.5	14.4	2.04
Bruce Brown	52	53	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.15	-16	19	-35	15.4	14.0	1.35	14.9	14.9	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.19,0.54,0.24,0.28,0.54,0.46,0.84,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.92,1	91.3%
MIL 101, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.79,0.96,1,1	88.1%
CLE 107, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.78,0.58,1	87.9%