NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	9.1 [101]		MVP	Randy Foye (MIN): +45.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	15.9 [112]		LVP	Michael Doleac (MIN): -23.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.17	-0.01	17	68%	0.41	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	18	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Awvee Storey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	17	43%	0.04	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	11	41%	0.03	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	13	44%	0.01	2	-0.22	6	100%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.24	0.25	0.03	18	80%	0.48	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.18	-0.00	9	50%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.10
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	9	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	13	65%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	14	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	15	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.11	1	0%	-0.04
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	0.00	5	20%	-0.15	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	28.5	17.3	30.6	2.5	32.3	1.5	10.0	147.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -18.7%

MIN +12.9%

MIN +4.2%

MIN +46.4%

MIN +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.4	95.3	102.8	105.7
season	15.8	15.9		103.4	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		109.6	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	14.3	13.3	16.1	16.1	15.3	14.9
MIN	13.4	15.5	15.9	14.5	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	22	23	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-16	23	14.6	15.0	-0.44	15.4	14.8	0.61
Bobby Simmons	53	54	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-18	27	14.3	15.6	-1.32	14.9	14.9	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	30	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-12	15	13.9	15.3	-1.41	14.8	15.0	-0.17
Dan Gadzuric	15	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-13	17	12.9	15.3	-2.34	13.1	15.2	-2.15
Awvee Storey	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	13.4	15.7	-2.31	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Charlie Villanueva	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	2	-13	15.5	14.3	1.21	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Desmond Mason	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	1	-11	15.7	13.4	2.31	15.4	14.0	1.40
Andrew Bogut	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	3	-15	15.4	13.8	1.55	15.4	13.8	1.52
Ramon Sessions	106	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.9	0.0	14.94	14.9	0.0	14.92
Michael Redd	53	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	9	-27	15.6	14.3	1.32	15.1	14.8	0.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	61	60	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.22	19	-10	29	14.9	15.0	-0.07	15.4	14.3	1.09
Michael Doleac	39	38	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-9	27	15.1	14.8	0.25	15.5	14.6	0.91
Randy Foye	74	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-5	19	15.3	14.1	1.19	15.2	14.3	0.97
Rashad McCants	56	55	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	2	5	14.5	15.4	-0.87	14.4	15.6	-1.20
Corey Brewer	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	7	-5	14.9	15.0	-0.17	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Kirk Snyder	34	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	4	1	14.5	15.1	-0.65	15.5	14.7	0.79
Mark Madsen	17	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	13.9	15.1	-1.16	14.2	15.1	-0.94
Marko Jaric	69	69	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.15	1	8	-7	14.7	15.3	-0.66	15.2	14.5	0.62
Chris Richard	50	50	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	19	-29	14.7	15.1	-0.41	14.3	15.5	-1.14
Al Jefferson	59	59	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.14	-3	12	-15	15.6	14.1	1.43	15.2	14.6	0.59
Greg Buckner	7	7	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	17	-25	17.3	14.7	2.54	14.3	15.0	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.43,0.38,0.19,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.79,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	87.8%
PHI 99, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.89,0.85,1	87.7%
DAL 97, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.92,1	87.6%