NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	7.2 [487]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +27.8%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	23.1 [57]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -16.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.28	0.03	0.25	0.00	20	50%	0.34	2	-0.06	14	79%	-0.03
Kyle Kuzma	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.00	19	66%	0.31	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.02
Deni Avdija	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	8	73%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gafford	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04
Corey Kispert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monte Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	10	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan Goodwin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.02	8	62%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.21	0.01	0.08	21	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.00	20	65%	0.15	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	11	42%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	24.4	14.7	34.2	1.7	38.6	139.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.9%

WAS +5.8%

WAS +1.7%

WAS +7.2%

PHX -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	14.4	116.5	114.6	113.4
season	14.8	14.5		113.4	114.2
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.4	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	13.4	15.1	13.0	14.3
PHX	15.9	16.0	15.6	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	72	72	1.24	-0.74	1.98	0.50	25	-22	47	13.5	16.7	-3.23	15.4	15.8	-0.35
Taj Gibson	38	39	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.54	8	-5	13	12.4	15.5	-3.12	16.2	15.1	1.18
Monte Morris	72	72	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-8	19	14.4	14.0	0.38	15.9	14.5	1.38
Deni Avdija	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-8	19	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Kyle Kuzma	75	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-4	11	14.6	13.5	1.12	15.3	16.1	-0.74
Jordan Goodwin	25	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	11	-19	14.0	14.4	-0.38	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Daniel Gafford	58	56	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.16	-4	7	-11	15.8	12.1	3.71	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Corey Kispert	38	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.04	-12	15	-27	13.7	14.7	-1.00	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Will Barton	33	33	-0.77	1.27	-2.04	-0.09	-23	26	-49	16.4	13.2	3.19	16.1	15.2	0.90

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Wainright	42	43	0.69	-1.19	1.89	0.17	18	-21	39	15.1	15.9	-0.78	15.0	13.7	1.31
Bismack Biyombo	29	31	0.53	-1.03	1.55	0.17	12	-15	27	16.6	15.1	1.51	15.3	13.9	1.43
Duane Washington Jr.	22	23	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.18	7	-10	17	16.6	15.2	1.37	15.7	13.9	1.80
Damion Lee	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	2	-7	15.6	15.5	0.15	13.3	15.0	-1.65
Landry Shamet	71	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-7	11	15.4	16.0	-0.63	14.1	14.9	-0.75
Mikal Bridges	80	80	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.58	-6	3	-9	15.4	16.1	-0.64	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Chris Paul	74	74	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.60	-10	7	-17	15.2	16.6	-1.37	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Torrey Craig	59	58	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.44	-19	16	-35	15.9	14.9	0.95	14.7	13.8	0.92
Deandre Ayton	66	65	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.56	-16	13	-29	15.3	16.1	-0.83	14.1	14.8	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.96,0.9,0.77,0.63,0.33,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.81,0.71,0.57,0.17,0	91.3%
BOS 82, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.04,0	90.8%
DEN 106, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.09,0.16,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.16,0.09,0	89.2%