inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 111 Excitement8.2 [216] MVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): +19.5%
Orlando Magic 108 Comeback14.8 [57] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -19.3%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.190.080.120.00679%0.1900.002100%0.06
Karl Malone0.120,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.120.090.02-0.011967%0.141-0.032273%0.01
Matt Harpring0.080,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.070.01867%0.122-0.042100%0.01
John Stockton0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05-0.050.09-0.02855%0.113-0.056100%0.06
Greg Ostertag0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Tony Massenburg-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.020.003100%0.074-0.1100%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.030.021050%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01550%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07-0.02-0.050.001048%-0.051-0.023100%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.120.03-0.011174%0.1700.00580%0.02
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001150%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02490%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Chris Whitney00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.00362%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00480%0.063-0.072100%0.01
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.08-0.080.02-0.110.00675%0.042-0.124100%0.03
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.10-0.002648%-0.073-0.111486%0.03
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.10-0.031932%-0.171-0.023100%0.02
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.130.00833%-0.171-0.02250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.12.528.215.833.22.740.4143.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +54.5%
UTA +11.3%
ORL -4.6%
ORL -10.9%
ORL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAORLNBAUTAORLNBA
this game15.114.915.5116.8111.3101.6
season16.314.6103.1102.7
opponent15.815.3103.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.616.013.117.315.1
ORL14.814.115.215.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Stockton61621.20-0.701.910.5323-204315.115.2-0.0515.214.30.85
Matt Harpring64660.87-0.371.250.5511-81914.217.1-2.8515.513.51.92
Scott Padgett47500.69-0.190.890.4010-71716.214.12.0714.615.1-0.49
Andrei Kirilenko51500.52-0.020.540.404-1515.614.60.9914.315.5-1.19
Karl Malone83830.440.060.380.3821115.314.11.2214.914.40.58
Greg Ostertag34330.080.42-0.340.0512-114.215.7-1.5115.414.60.86
Calbert Cheaney6772-0.090.59-0.68-0.03-25-714.915.8-0.9115.114.20.83
Tony Massenburg2628-0.210.71-0.93-0.01-710-1714.015.6-1.5314.415.1-0.70
DeShawn Stevenson86-0.300.80-1.11-0.10-710-1721.914.57.3510.315.2-4.82
Carlos Arroyo67-0.320.82-1.14-0.14-69-1520.814.86.0714.114.9-0.77
Mark Jackson2828-0.380.88-1.270.03-1417-3114.015.6-1.6814.415.1-0.70

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Kemp3335-0.11-0.390.290.04-52-715.014.80.2214.215.7-1.55
Chris Whitney43-0.15-0.350.200.02-63-912.215.0-2.7215.015.2-0.15
Jeryl Sasser1815-0.17-0.330.160.03-74-1113.715.1-1.4614.315.3-1.05
Jacque Vaughn3129-0.17-0.330.150.00-63-916.014.31.6315.015.2-0.21
Darrell Armstrong6363-0.19-0.310.13-0.459-122114.315.9-1.5815.215.00.22
Andrew DeClercq5152-0.22-0.280.06-0.427-101715.614.01.5915.414.80.65
Drew Gooden3633-0.22-0.280.050.01-85-1315.314.60.7215.914.81.12
Gordan Giricek9292-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.463-6915.19.85.3315.215.00.15
Pat Garrity7169-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.410-3314.615.6-1.0415.314.80.52
Tracy McGrady8483-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.39-2-1-114.815.2-0.3415.314.11.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.81,0.71,0.57,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 82, MIA 770.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.04,091.8%
CHH 102, TOR 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,089.4%
DET 80, UTA 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,089.2%