NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	6.4 [642]		MVP	Josh Richardson (SAS): +18.2%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	1.2 [292]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -24.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.02	13	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.04	12	61%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.09
Donovan Mitchell	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.16	0.05	-0.17	0.03	24	56%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	22	38%	-0.14	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.02	0.03	13	89%	0.22	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	14	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Roby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	25	38%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	7	56%	0.09	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	27.1	14.7	28.2	2.5	35.4	131.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +58.6%

CLE -7.4%

CLE -2.5%

SAS +5.7%

CLE -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	14.4	113.3	113.1	113.4
season	15.1	14.0		114.0	109.2
opponent	14.1	14.7		119.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	16.2	14.3	12.3	14.7
SAS	13.9	12.6	17.0	14.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	62	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-15	29	13.8	16.2	-2.34	14.0	15.5	-1.44
Cedi Osman	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	1	-3	14.9	14.7	0.22	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Kevin Love	26	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	7	-15	17.2	13.8	3.36	12.9	15.2	-2.24
Isaac Okoro	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	3	-7	14.4	14.8	-0.37	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Darius Garland	83	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.57	10	-11	21	13.3	22.5	-9.19	14.8	12.9	1.91
Lamar Stevens	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	8	-17	15.7	13.7	1.94	15.3	13.8	1.49
Evan Mobley	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	13.9	18.0	-4.11	14.7	14.1	0.56
Jarrett Allen	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-2	3	15.4	12.8	2.55	14.8	13.9	0.87
Donovan Mitchell	72	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	8	-17	15.8	11.7	4.07	14.8	13.8	1.07

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Bassey	42	42	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-9	19	13.5	15.3	-1.75	15.1	14.4	0.72
Jeremy Sochan	36	35	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-13	27	13.5	15.1	-1.62	17.9	12.9	5.07
Devin Vassell	60	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	1	-1	14.0	15.4	-1.37	14.2	15.4	-1.26
Josh Richardson	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	-5	11	13.3	16.2	-2.88	15.1	14.2	0.89
Keldon Johnson	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	-2	5	14.3	15.2	-0.89	15.6	12.7	2.91
Isaiah Roby	29	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-10	21	15.8	14.0	1.80	15.5	14.3	1.18
Doug McDermott	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	3	-5	14.3	14.7	-0.39	13.5	15.4	-1.84
Tre Jones	61	61	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.52	-16	17	-33	15.7	12.7	2.95	13.2	17.2	-4.03
Romeo Langford	49	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	13	-25	15.8	13.3	2.50	13.6	15.8	-2.25
Zach Collins	57	56	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	10	-19	15.3	13.5	1.75	14.4	15.1	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.85,0.93,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
UTA 77, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.98,1	94.2%
LAL 83, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%