NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	9.2 [160]		MVP	Bruno Fernando (HOU): +24.3%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	19.9 [17]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -17.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruno Fernando	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	8	87%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.01	12	71%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	1	150%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.11	-0.00	7	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	68%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Tari Eason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Daishen Nix	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Usman Garuba	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	60%	0.17	6	-0.21	9	89%	0.03
Jalen Green	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	24	47%	0.05	5	-0.22	16	75%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.04	0.04	0.22	-0.16	0.02	25	68%	0.11	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.08
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.07	-0.02	12	77%	0.24	4	-0.21	2	0%	-0.05
Jock Landale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.11	-0.00	16	63%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.04	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.0	29.2	15.5	29.2	2.5	33.0	137.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +28.1%

HOU +25.4%

PHX -1.4%

PHX -8.5%

HOU +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.4	122.0	121.0	113.4
season	14.8	14.5		109.8	114.2
opponent	14.5	13.9		112.4	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.9	12.8	13.6	14.0	14.3
PHX	13.1	12.9	16.4	16.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Fernando	26	28	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.44	15	-14	29	13.5	14.5	-1.03	16.5	13.8	2.67
Garrison Mathews	24	25	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-13	27	12.5	14.8	-2.26	16.0	14.1	1.95
Kevin Porter Jr.	69	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.59	-2	3	-5	15.1	12.3	2.85	13.8	16.2	-2.42
Jabari Smith Jr.	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.64	-5	6	-11	14.8	13.4	1.40	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Jalen Green	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.51	-8	9	-17	14.1	14.9	-0.83	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Eric Gordon	59	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.42	-8	9	-17	14.8	13.4	1.43	13.6	15.8	-2.23
Usman Garuba	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	-4	9	12.7	14.7	-2.02	16.2	14.1	2.10
Tari Eason	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.17	6	-5	11	13.4	14.8	-1.40	15.4	14.1	1.28
Kenyon Martin Jr.	37	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	-2	5	14.3	14.3	0.02	15.3	14.1	1.17
Daishen Nix	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	-3	7	13.0	14.9	-1.84	16.0	13.8	2.13
Alperen Sengun	52	50	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.14	-19	20	-39	15.3	13.1	2.18	12.7	16.3	-3.60

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	44	43	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.03	10	-11	21	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.7	13.2	2.48
Bismack Biyombo	25	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-1	1	14.2	14.7	-0.45	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Landry Shamet	42	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.19	-7	6	-13	14.8	14.3	0.46	13.2	14.9	-1.68
Jock Landale	13	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	3	-7	17.5	14.1	3.45	13.4	14.4	-1.05
Ish Wainright	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	7	-15	14.5	14.6	-0.07	13.1	15.1	-1.97
Devin Booker	67	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.57	8	-9	17	14.9	13.8	1.17	14.8	13.1	1.67
Cameron Payne	75	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.56	6	-7	13	13.9	16.3	-2.37	14.8	12.4	2.37
Mikal Bridges	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.54	4	-5	9	13.9	16.8	-2.86	14.3	14.0	0.39
Deandre Ayton	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.60	3	-4	7	14.0	15.3	-1.29	15.0	13.1	1.86
Damion Lee	52	51	-0.97	0.47	-1.45	-0.47	-17	16	-33	16.1	12.8	3.28	13.1	15.4	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.26,0.29,0.1,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	93.2%
BOS 105, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	92.5%
NOH 76, HOU 73	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.1,0,0	92.0%