inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 119 Excitement11.7 [25] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +29.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 123 Comeback5.0 [275] LVPNikola Vucevic (CHI): -29.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.290,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.24,0.290.020.25-0.022748%0.352-0.06875%0.09
Alex Caruso0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.06-0.005100%0.211-0.042100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00460%0.0700.002100%0.01
Coby White0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00560%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Ayo Dosunmu0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01747%0.0000.001100%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Zach LaVine-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0,0,-0.010.00-0.04-0.032352%0.144-0.15683%0.01
Goran Dragic-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.070.05-0.120.00779%0.112-0.1800%0.00
Javonte Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00050%-0.002-0.07250%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic-0.300,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3-0.03-0.27-0.001446%-0.252-0.0500%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.02,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.290.290.070.250.032153%0.321-0.021593%0.20
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.030.16-0.00757%0.2000.0000%0.00
Darius Bazley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.040.00985%0.201-0.03250%-0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.05-0.031354%0.131-0.022100%0.03
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.020.00473%0.0900.00367%-0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.01956%0.0100.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.040.00657%0.0000.002100%0.01
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00550%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.130.07-0.021338%0.185-0.2200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24-0.24-0.04-0.22-0.02850%-0.043-0.21887%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.41.726.214.831.71.729.32.415.5150.7
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +33.1%
OKC +19.3%
OKC +3.3%
OKC +3.9%
CHI -9.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIOKCNBACHIOKCNBA
this game15.213.514.4106.2111.8113.4
season14.113.7112.0113.5
opponent14.514.9112.8110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI15.515.115.013.320.215.2
OKC15.213.711.613.314.813.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Caruso56550.22-0.720.950.191-5615.714.61.2014.412.61.84
Derrick Jones Jr.1615-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-5612.715.6-2.8012.313.7-1.41
Patrick Williams6667-0.09-0.410.31-0.307-111815.315.00.3313.313.7-0.43
Andre Drummond1313-0.19-0.310.110.10-106-1618.114.83.3113.513.50.06
Coby White3635-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-51-615.614.90.6813.913.30.68
Nikola Vucevic8382-0.22-0.280.06-0.375-91415.215.10.0213.712.90.84
DeMar DeRozan8887-0.23-0.270.04-0.416-101615.115.5-0.4413.712.61.10
Goran Dragic2423-0.27-0.23-0.040.03-106-1615.515.10.4412.613.7-1.10
Javonte Green2523-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.00-95-1415.615.00.5312.613.7-1.10
Zach LaVine9693-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.35-40-415.215.10.1013.712.51.13
Ayo Dosunmu5757-0.700.20-0.90-0.64-2-2013.916.4-2.5212.614.5-1.87

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams63660.79-0.291.070.4312-82014.112.61.4715.714.31.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander81830.56-0.060.620.309-51413.712.90.7515.414.60.81
Josh Giddey80800.400.100.300.46-26-813.214.2-1.0315.614.01.57
Luguentz Dort71720.300.200.100.2422013.214.0-0.8415.614.31.25
Aleksej Pokusevski62650.260.240.030.64-1317-3015.011.53.5514.615.9-1.31
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl44430.210.29-0.07-0.2616-122811.514.8-3.3816.214.51.75
Darius Bazley42430.170.33-0.170.20-15-613.513.5-0.0514.015.9-1.91
Tre Mann30300.010.49-0.490.03-15-613.513.5-0.0214.815.3-0.43
Isaiah Joe3032-0.020.52-0.53-0.196-2814.213.21.0314.015.6-1.57
Jalen Williams4746-0.180.68-0.860.05-812-2012.614.1-1.4714.315.7-1.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.68,0.37,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.68,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 99, MIN 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,188.3%
UTA 115, LAL 1270.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.74,0.54,0.8,0.81,0.94,1,188.1%
WAS 99, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.23,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.84,187.9%