NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	122		Excitement	8.9 [192]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): +44.1%
Houston Rockets	128		Comeback	12.8 [48]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (HOU): -17.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.44	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.26	0.15	-0.03	24	76%	0.51	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
AJ Griffin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	5	92%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.07	0.15	-0.06	0.02	28	61%	0.20	4	-0.13	16	87%	-0.03
Jalen Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	42%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
De'Andre Hunter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	12	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	0	67%	0.04	2	-0.17	6	67%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.37	0.37	0.19	0.21	0.03	6	95%	0.40	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.12
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	17	70%	0.36	6	-0.14	9	78%	0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	13	81%	0.20	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	17	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	2	25%	-0.03	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	16	34%	-0.09	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	30.6	15.3	33.6	2.4	36.8	149.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -6.7%

HOU +16.9%

HOU +47.0%

ATL -6.8%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.3	14.1	14.4	116.2	121.9	113.4
season	13.8	14.8		115.1	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.4		118.0	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.2	12.0	13.0	16.5	13.3
HOU	13.0	15.2	13.6	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-9	12	12.9	13.5	-0.64	15.0	13.8	1.17
Justin Holiday	4	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-5	4	9.5	13.5	-3.98	15.7	14.1	1.61
Aaron Holiday	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	13.0	13.5	-0.44	13.4	14.4	-1.00
Onyeka Okongwu	68	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-7	8	14.0	12.0	2.00	14.3	13.6	0.71
De'Andre Hunter	82	83	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-5	4	13.8	11.7	2.08	13.8	15.1	-1.25
AJ Griffin	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-4	2	12.1	14.7	-2.53	13.7	14.5	-0.75
Frank Kaminsky	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	3	-12	12.6	13.5	-0.86	15.5	13.8	1.67
John Collins	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	13.4	13.3	0.09	13.9	14.5	-0.52
Trae Young	83	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	13.0	14.4	-1.37	14.1	14.1	0.02
Dejounte Murray	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	0	-6	14.0	11.4	2.63	14.2	13.9	0.24

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	82	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-8	22	14.2	13.7	0.52	13.5	12.7	0.80
Garrison Mathews	45	46	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	1	4	15.3	13.2	2.11	14.8	12.2	2.67
Kenyon Martin Jr.	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	13.7	15.0	-1.33	13.4	13.2	0.17
Kevin Porter Jr.	84	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	1	4	13.9	14.8	-0.82	12.7	15.5	-2.76
Jalen Green	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	0	6	14.3	13.8	0.50	13.7	12.6	1.04
Daishen Nix	33	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-2	10	13.4	14.4	-0.99	15.1	12.5	2.61
Tari Eason	44	41	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	2	2	13.7	14.4	-0.65	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Usman Garuba	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	1	4	12.9	15.0	-2.05	12.3	14.1	-1.78
Josh Christopher	13	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	16	-26	15.9	13.8	2.08	11.0	13.6	-2.62
Bruno Fernando	37	36	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.08	-15	21	-36	15.1	13.6	1.51	12.6	13.7	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.46,0.47,0.28,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.31,0.64,0.55,0.92,1	91.0%
CLE 99, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.4,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.55,0.58,1	89.7%
TOR 81, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	89.5%