NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	7.1 [379]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +23.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	14.7 [197]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -27.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.08	0.01	6	125%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	79%	0.18	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.04
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	14	54%	0.01	4	-0.12	9	89%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.11	-0.00	15	42%	0.03	7	-0.30	1	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.00	10	45%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	7	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.08
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.06	0.01	12	46%	0.10	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	27.9	15.0	25.2	1.5	34.2	129.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -17.0%

MIN +13.9%

MIN +5.7%

MIN +48.2%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.5	90.4	92.6	101.6
season	15.4	14.9		100.2	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	14.2	16.5	17.8	16.2
MIN	13.0	15.8	13.5	14.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	17	16	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.15	10	-13	23	12.2	17.1	-4.86	16.2	13.9	2.38
Wang Zhi-zhi	22	24	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-10	17	13.9	16.9	-3.07	15.6	13.8	1.75
Keyon Dooling	41	41	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.10	-3	0	-3	15.9	16.5	-0.59	13.7	14.7	-0.95
Corey Maggette	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	2	-7	15.8	16.6	-0.79	13.0	15.4	-2.43
Elton Brand	93	94	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-2	1	16.2	14.0	2.24	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Sean Rooks	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	7	-17	17.1	13.4	3.74	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Marko Jaric	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-3	3	16.5	15.9	0.59	14.7	13.7	0.95
Quentin Richardson	55	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-3	3	17.0	15.2	1.81	14.7	13.7	0.95
Lamar Odom	73	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.34	-13	10	-23	16.6	14.8	1.81	14.0	15.4	-1.43

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	84	82	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.33	17	-14	31	13.8	18.0	-4.21	16.8	12.1	4.73
Wally Szczerbiak	57	57	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.59	2	1	1	14.4	14.1	0.28	17.0	15.0	1.96
Anthony Peeler	52	51	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-4	11	14.7	13.7	1.05	16.9	15.4	1.42
Troy Hudson	51	50	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.51	2	1	1	14.5	14.0	0.59	17.3	14.9	2.41
Rasho Nesterovic	71	71	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	-1	5	14.3	14.1	0.25	16.3	16.0	0.22
Joe Smith	57	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	2	-1	14.1	14.6	-0.46	15.2	17.7	-2.56
Rod Strickland	44	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	2	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.59	14.9	17.3	-2.41
Marc Jackson	7	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	8	-13	17.6	14.0	3.56	11.9	16.6	-4.71
Gary Trent	12	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	12	-21	14.2	14.3	-0.12	17.4	16.0	1.38
Kendall Gill	40	40	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.16	-5	8	-13	14.1	14.4	-0.26	14.8	17.3	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.31,0.64,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.63,0.67,0.72,1	91.5%
BOS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.98,1	91.0%
IND 102, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.68,0.84,1	90.8%