inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 122 Excitement9.8 [101] MVPDarius Garland (CLE): +53.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 132 Comeback21.8 [133] LVPTheo Maledon (CHA): -16.4%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.420,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.220.220.032076%0.542-0.125100%0.02
Terry Rozier0.380,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38-0.080.42-0.053342%0.433-0.051100%0.01
Gordon Hayward0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.110.000.10-0.011443%0.1100.00250%-0.01
P.J. Washington0.100,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.000.002061%0.202-0.106100%0.03
Kai Jones0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Richards0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.030.011054%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
James Bouknight-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jalen McDaniels-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.01233%-0.041-0.022100%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.020.00417%-0.081-0.02450%-0.03
Theo Maledon-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.06-0.0150%-0.102-0.0700%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Garland0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.540.540.090.450.012668%0.838-0.29875%0.03
Evan Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.080.021466%0.201-0.02475%-0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.130.130.070.070.012262%0.196-0.061191%0.03
Jarrett Allen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.11-0.010.011174%0.172-0.08580%-0.00
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01475%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Isaac Okoro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.01275%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Cedi Osman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caris LeVert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03822%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Lamar Stevens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.03525%-0.0600.00250%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game23.62.329.515.230.62.440.42.510.32.413.1172.3
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.02.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +10.3%
CLE +21.0%
CLE +11.2%
CHA -2.7%
CLE +10.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHACLENBACHACLENBA
this game15.214.714.4106.1111.9113.4
season14.015.1107.8114.0
opponent14.714.3109.0114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHA19.215.312.713.417.915.2
CLE13.515.415.014.315.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre Jr.78810.19-0.690.880.016-162215.314.90.4314.116.0-1.90
Kai Jones14140.16-0.660.82-0.1410-203013.815.4-1.5915.514.60.91
Theo Maledon2826-0.17-0.340.17-0.05-4-6214.315.5-1.1914.714.7-0.05
Gordon Hayward8388-0.22-0.280.07-0.13-3-7415.414.60.8614.614.9-0.32
James Bouknight2426-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-5014.015.5-1.4414.814.70.10
Mason Plumlee5758-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.09-8-2-614.915.4-0.5014.514.9-0.42
Nick Richards5759-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.28-2-8615.514.90.5815.114.30.88
Terry Rozier9699-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-122-1415.414.31.1014.814.30.51
Jalen McDaniels4746-0.520.02-0.55-0.11-144-1815.015.3-0.2715.214.40.79
P.J. Washington9193-0.580.08-0.66-0.05-188-2615.514.01.5514.714.7-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Garland99970.99-0.491.490.3223-133614.416.1-1.6215.414.11.34
Caris LeVert59580.97-0.471.440.7482616.313.13.2914.715.6-0.92
Evan Mobley91900.51-0.010.510.0715-52014.315.9-1.5515.414.21.20
Donovan Mitchell88870.370.130.240.071001014.415.7-1.3515.215.10.15
Kevin Love48470.310.190.120.34-111-1215.514.21.2915.115.2-0.13
Cedi Osman13130.070.43-0.350.0128-616.214.51.6418.414.83.61
Isaac Okoro3836-0.190.69-0.89-0.2528-614.214.9-0.6813.016.2-3.18
Jarrett Allen8682-0.360.86-1.21-0.24-414-1814.315.8-1.4914.915.8-0.85
Lamar Stevens5855-0.671.17-1.85-0.23-1525-4014.415.0-0.6216.014.41.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.69,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.98,1,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.09,0.54,0.39,0.79,0.95,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 119, ATL 1260.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.91,0.99,189.6%
UTA 115, HOU 1200.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,189.6%
LAL 96, POR 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,188.8%