NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	119		Excitement	10.4 [51]		MVP	Austin Daye (DET): +53.3%
Atlanta Hawks	126		Comeback	7.2 [267]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -31.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.05	0.48	0.00	6	67%	0.53	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.16	-0.00	9	73%	0.25	3	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.00	12	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.08	12	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.07	-0.17	0.04	19	41%	-0.16	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.2,-0.11,-0.02,-0.29,-0.29,-0.21,-0.33,-0.31,-0.31	0.09	-0.26	0.14	26	57%	-0.12	2	-0.19	2	50%	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.01	15	58%	0.24	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.27
Louis Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.11	-0.02	14	60%	0.19	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.01	10	61%	0.20	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.12
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	10	76%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	0.07	-0.27	-0.00	25	53%	-0.13	1	-0.07	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	27.2	15.7	25.0	1.8	34.1	1.7	19.6	1.8	16.3	166.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -20.0%

ATL +40.1%

DET -24.1%

ATL +43.4%

ATL +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.4	15.4	105.3	110.5	104.1
season	15.7	15.1		102.3	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.7	17.3	20.4	12.9	14.2	16.3
ATL	12.1	14.0	13.6	19.9	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	61	64	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.38	17	-24	41	14.6	18.3	-3.70	15.1	13.4	1.78
Charlie Villanueva	63	64	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.43	16	-23	39	14.8	18.2	-3.35	15.5	12.9	2.53
Andre Drummond	71	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-14	21	15.2	18.1	-2.92	15.0	13.2	1.81
Will Bynum	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-13	19	15.5	17.6	-2.08	14.9	13.4	1.51
Rodney Stuckey	84	88	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	15.6	18.4	-2.78	14.6	13.6	1.01
Kyle Singler	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	4	-15	17.8	15.8	1.96	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Brandon Knight	45	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	6	-19	18.1	15.1	3.03	13.6	14.8	-1.29
Jason Maxiell	42	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	9	-25	17.6	15.5	2.12	12.8	15.3	-2.56
Greg Monroe	50	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	14	-35	18.6	14.5	4.11	13.3	15.2	-1.82
Tayshaun Prince	50	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.00	-21	14	-35	18.2	14.8	3.43	13.4	15.0	-1.63

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	90	92	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.73	10	-3	13	14.8	12.6	2.20	16.5	15.4	1.14
Josh Smith	96	94	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-5	17	14.1	16.0	-1.95	16.7	14.5	2.21
Jeff Teague	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-7	21	13.1	16.6	-3.53	16.2	16.5	-0.29
DeShawn Stevenson	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	11	-15	15.8	13.2	2.60	15.9	16.6	-0.69
Kyle Korver	80	79	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	0	7	13.6	16.2	-2.63	16.4	16.0	0.44
Al Horford	84	84	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.29	-1	8	-9	14.5	13.9	0.67	15.9	17.6	-1.67
Anthony Morrow	33	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	4	-1	15.9	13.7	2.22	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Ivan Johnson	19	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	10	-13	14.7	14.3	0.39	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Zaza Pachulia	44	43	-0.67	1.17	-1.84	-0.58	-3	10	-13	14.3	14.4	-0.14	16.5	16.2	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 106, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	89.3%
BKN 103, HOU 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	89.2%
DEN 82, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	89.2%