NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	109		Excitement	9.6 [111]		MVP	Yuta Watanabe (BKN): +54.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	7.0 [164]		LVP	Seth Curry (BKN): -24.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yuta Watanabe	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.54	0.21	0.31	-0.03	7	100%	0.54	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.30	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,0.3	-0.06	0.35	-0.01	14	39%	0.38	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	6	94%	0.19	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.07	0.13	-0.06	-0.00	22	65%	0.22	4	-0.15	10	80%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.07	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.01	12	60%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Cam Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.00	9	100%	0.28	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.17	0.01	9	59%	0.29	2	-0.09	11	64%	-0.04
Anfernee Simons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	20	55%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	-0.01	24	46%	-0.07	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	13	19%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	27.3	14.5	28.6	2.5	42.7	144.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +120.8%

POR -33.5%

POR -8.9%

POR -27.7%

POR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	POR	NBA	BKN	POR	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	14.4	109.0	105.9	113.4
season	14.4	14.7		113.7	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.8		117.3	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	12.9	14.2	12.8	13.2	13.3
POR	14.8	15.2	16.5	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	81	82	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.46	15	-13	28	13.0	14.5	-1.56	15.4	15.2	0.28
Ben Simmons	66	68	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-11	24	12.6	14.6	-1.97	16.1	14.0	2.06
Seth Curry	55	58	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-3	8	13.8	12.6	1.28	15.5	15.3	0.23
Joe Harris	73	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-8	18	12.3	15.8	-3.50	15.9	14.1	1.80
Royce O'Neale	76	79	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	3	-4	13.2	13.5	-0.37	15.6	14.8	0.78
Yuta Watanabe	58	58	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.44	-10	12	-22	14.3	11.8	2.46	14.7	16.3	-1.55
Edmond Sumner	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	-2	6	11.9	13.5	-1.55	15.0	15.4	-0.44
Patty Mills	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	13.6	13.2	0.40	16.0	15.3	0.67
Cam Thomas	15	15	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	9	-16	13.6	13.2	0.40	14.3	15.6	-1.24
Nic Claxton	54	52	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.02	-16	18	-34	14.4	11.9	2.53	14.4	16.4	-2.06

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nassir Little	28	30	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-9	16	13.8	16.0	-2.16	13.1	13.3	-0.23
Jusuf Nurkic	54	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-5	8	15.1	15.7	-0.55	13.4	13.1	0.27
Shaedon Sharpe	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-2	2	14.8	15.9	-1.03	13.1	13.4	-0.35
Drew Eubanks	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.23	13.0	13.4	-0.41
Josh Hart	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-3	4	15.7	14.8	0.89	13.9	12.3	1.57
Damian Lillard	78	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	15.7	14.4	1.23	13.7	11.8	1.93
Justise Winslow	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.82	10	-12	22	14.8	16.3	-1.51	13.3	13.1	0.23
Jerami Grant	77	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.48	-8	6	-14	15.8	14.2	1.54	13.3	13.0	0.29
Anfernee Simons	64	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	17	-36	16.0	14.4	1.63	12.0	15.2	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.55,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	91.7%
ORL 117, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.68,0.53,0.31,0.38,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	91.3%
TOR 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.32,0.08,0	91.0%