inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 89 Excitement8.6 [171] MVPVoshon Lenard (TOR): +25.3%
Washington Wizards 86 Comeback2.4 [250] LVPJerry Stackhouse (WAS): -37.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.19,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25-0.010.23-0.031544%0.2500.002100%0.03
Vince Carter0.190,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.190.060.150.021763%0.252-0.054100%0.06
Rafer Alston-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.020.00562%0.001-0.03650%-0.06
Jerome Williams-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011040%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Bradley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01740%-0.011-0.0310%-0.03
Morris Peterson-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.050.01736%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.03-0.080.02761%-0.053-0.08475%-0.01
Antonio Davis-0.250,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25-0.09-0.16-0.001437%-0.192-0.06250%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.001165%0.132-0.071100%0.01
Charles Oakley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01855%0.031-0.046100%0.07
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.040.00575%0.031-0.04667%-0.03
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.080.00757%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.01540%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.01748%-0.012-0.11786%0.06
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.05-0.00529%-0.083-0.094100%0.04
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.37-0.37-0.14-0.230.002242%-0.224-0.15683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.21.628.315.624.72.037.2129.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +57.9%
WAS -31.1%
WAS -6.7%
TOR +30.7%
WAS -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game15.616.515.598.996.6101.6
season16.216.598.8100.9
opponent15.515.3101.9105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.614.716.718.315.6
WAS16.414.716.019.616.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alvin Williams58570.67-0.170.840.3511-81915.216.5-1.3316.416.8-0.48
Vince Carter72710.64-0.140.770.437-41115.018.1-3.0816.417.2-0.79
Antonio Davis79780.59-0.090.690.368-51314.921.2-6.3116.814.72.07
Voshon Lenard44430.440.060.380.50-25-717.613.83.8116.316.8-0.50
Jerome Williams67670.280.220.060.2221115.017.7-2.7016.018.2-2.24
Morris Peterson68670.100.40-0.310.0421114.718.5-3.7216.516.5-0.01
Michael Bradley3332-0.050.55-0.590.13-69-1519.313.55.8217.216.21.01
Rafer Alston2930-0.180.68-0.850.03-710-1716.815.11.6917.516.11.45

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell42440.11-0.610.72-0.2111-142514.718.2-3.4614.916.3-1.44
Charles Oakley760.03-0.530.560.030-3319.316.32.9812.715.9-3.19
Michael Jordan2929-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-1-116.316.6-0.3414.416.2-1.82
Kwame Brown4043-0.06-0.440.37-0.153-6916.916.20.7517.813.74.11
Bobby Simmons118-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-2118.816.22.6018.515.43.13
Anthony Goldwire78-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-41-517.116.50.6614.015.8-1.80
Brendan Haywood6970-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.280-3316.716.10.5015.316.8-1.49
Juan Dixon3432-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-74-1116.916.30.6515.515.7-0.22
Christian Laettner6160-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.29-52-715.918.0-2.0815.016.9-1.83
Larry Hughes6567-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.450-3317.015.41.5916.612.93.67
Jerry Stackhouse8083-0.760.26-1.03-0.47-107-1716.615.61.0915.517.7-2.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.32,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 104, VAN 1000.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.1,094.0%
UTA 84, VAN 750.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.04,092.4%
MIN 95, LAC 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.04,092.1%