NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	7.4 [331]		MVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): +21.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	3.7 [477]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -34.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	14	65%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	52%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	16	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	15	48%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	39%	-0.04	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	17	49%	0.02	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.14	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	17	41%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35	-0.35	-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	20	40%	-0.16	6	-0.19	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	30.2	16.3	22.5	2.4	30.6	126.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +6.2%

MIN +21.6%

LAC -10.8%

MIN +30.4%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	15.2	100.0	92.7	101.7
season	15.1	15.6		103.5	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.7		107.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	14.8	17.6	15.3	15.2
LAC	13.2	15.9	15.1	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	79	79	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.30	20	-14	34	14.9	16.6	-1.71	15.7	11.5	4.17
Kevin Garnett	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-2	10	15.5	13.8	1.66	15.1	14.4	0.66
Joe Smith	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.7	15.3	-0.54
Sam Mitchell	63	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-8	22	15.5	14.6	0.96	15.4	14.1	1.25
Anthony Peeler	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	3	0	14.4	16.0	-1.60	15.0	14.9	0.04
Malik Sealy	67	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	-1	8	15.0	15.6	-0.53	15.1	14.7	0.41
Rasho Nesterovic	47	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	8	-10	15.6	14.8	0.87	15.2	14.7	0.42
Wally Szczerbiak	19	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	19	-32	15.5	15.1	0.34	12.7	15.5	-2.82
William Avery	16	17	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.03	-14	20	-34	16.6	14.9	1.71	11.5	15.7	-4.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-3	0	13.6	15.3	-1.65	13.8	15.5	-1.75
Michael Olowokandi	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.9	0.03	16.0	14.5	1.48
Eric Murdock	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-6	6	15.5	14.6	0.94	15.2	15.2	0.06
Eric Piatkowski	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-4	2	15.5	14.7	0.86	15.2	15.2	-0.06
Derek Anderson	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	1	-8	14.7	15.4	-0.70	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Troy Hudson	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	0	-6	14.6	15.5	-0.94	15.2	15.2	-0.06
Lamar Odom	90	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-3	0	14.7	18.7	-3.96	15.5	12.0	3.45
Tyrone Nesby	48	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-5	4	15.4	14.5	0.96	15.0	15.4	-0.33
Maurice Taylor	92	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	1	-8	15.2	9.7	5.43	15.0	19.2	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 115, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,0	93.6%
BOS 99, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	92.8%
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.6%