NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	11.2 [43]		MVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): +50.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Comeback	2.9 [394]		LVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): -41.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.18	-0.00	11	52%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Derrick White	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.23,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	21	52%	0.09	6	-0.22	8	100%	0.05
Jaylen Brown	-0.37	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.25,-0.22,-0.37	0.03	-0.38	0.02	26	51%	-0.24	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.05	0.46	-0.00	8	83%	0.61	3	-0.10	2	50%	0.35
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.17	-0.04	27	46%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	20	62%	0.28	1	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.00	7	37%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.27,-0.41	-0.41	-0.00	-0.17	0.24	11	58%	-0.14	3	-0.27	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.2	2.8	28.1	14.4	30.5	2.7	34.0	2.4	11.3	155.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +65.8%

CLE +14.5%

CLE +8.0%

BOS -6.4%

BOS -31.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	12.5	16.1	14.4	101.8	102.7	113.4
season	14.5	15.1		116.3	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.0	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	11.3	9.0	15.1	14.6	14.9	12.5
CLE	15.0	17.1	13.2	19.0	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	73	75	0.51	-1.01	1.51	0.15	12	-13	25	11.6	14.2	-2.57	17.0	14.4	2.57
Derrick White	68	68	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-6	11	13.3	11.3	1.92	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Grant Williams	65	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-7	13	13.1	11.7	1.34	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Luke Kornet	6	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	7	-15	9.7	12.7	-3.02	12.3	16.3	-4.01
Malcolm Brogdon	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-3	5	11.6	13.3	-1.67	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Jaylen Brown	91	93	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-8	15	12.7	11.9	0.76	16.5	13.9	2.60
Sam Hauser	23	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	8	-17	12.8	12.5	0.33	12.6	17.0	-4.41
Marcus Smart	78	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.54	-3	2	-5	12.1	13.4	-1.28	16.9	14.4	2.56
Jayson Tatum	90	87	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.54	-16	15	-31	12.9	11.0	1.82	15.7	17.5	-1.81

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	64	64	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-14	29	15.9	16.5	-0.63	14.3	10.0	4.30
Dean Wade	54	53	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.54	3	-2	5	15.6	16.6	-1.00	12.1	12.9	-0.78
Darius Garland	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-7	15	16.4	15.2	1.22	12.7	11.8	0.98
Caris LeVert	96	97	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	0	1	16.2	15.8	0.38	12.9	10.2	2.64
Donovan Mitchell	91	89	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	4	-7	16.5	14.6	1.86	13.1	10.3	2.75
Jarrett Allen	77	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.71	-14	15	-29	17.0	14.1	2.94	12.0	13.7	-1.73
Robin Lopez	11	11	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	-4	9	16.0	16.1	-0.14	8.9	12.9	-4.01
Cedi Osman	26	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	-1	3	13.0	17.1	-4.03	12.6	12.5	0.13
Isaac Okoro	19	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	7	-13	15.8	16.2	-0.41	9.6	13.1	-3.54
Kevin Love	31	34	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	-0.40	-7	8	-15	16.0	16.2	-0.22	10.4	13.4	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.57,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.74,0.64,0.94,0.9,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, CHI 126	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.92,0.91,0.93,1	87.0%
ORL 119, POR 125	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.25,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.33,0.53,0.79,0.66,0.92,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.98,1	86.5%
LAC 92, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.59,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.57,0.92,1	86.1%