NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	7.7 [399]		MVP	Isaiah Joe (OKC): +47.8%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1999.0 [1]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -27.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Joe	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48	0.18	0.36	0.07	4	125%	0.48	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.13	0.03	27	61%	0.31	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Darius Bazley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Aaron Wiggins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eugene Omoruyi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Luguentz Dort	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	12	53%	0.01	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Mike Muscala	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	9	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	13	69%	0.21	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	76%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	10	50%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	-0.02	15	43%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.01	-0.21	0.05	23	48%	-0.15	3	-0.12	19	79%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	29.6	14.6	26.2	2.8	32.2	2.5	20.4	158.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +73.1%

DAL -18.4%

DAL -6.4%

OKC +4.8%

DAL -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.7	14.4	107.3	102.8	113.4
season	13.7	15.2		113.5	115.5
opponent	14.3	14.5		115.8	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	13.4	13.0	14.3	12.7	15.8	13.6
DAL	14.8	16.5	15.7	17.8	11.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Bazley	54	55	1.20	-0.70	1.90	0.64	19	-13	32	12.8	14.4	-1.59	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Luguentz Dort	84	83	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.37	23	-17	40	13.6	13.6	0.02	15.1	17.6	-2.42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	86	85	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.43	20	-14	34	13.7	13.3	0.39	15.1	17.8	-2.70
Isaiah Joe	19	17	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.18	24	-18	42	13.3	13.7	-0.36	16.8	15.5	1.26
Aaron Wiggins	56	55	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.33	18	-12	30	15.0	12.2	2.78	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Mike Muscala	26	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	-4	14	11.7	14.2	-2.52	16.1	15.6	0.49
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	8	9	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	13	-20	15.0	13.5	1.50	17.7	15.5	2.14
Jalen Williams	55	55	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.05	-9	15	-24	12.5	14.7	-2.19	16.6	14.8	1.75
Eugene Omoruyi	20	19	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.11	-8	14	-22	13.3	13.7	-0.39	16.8	15.5	1.38
Kenrich Williams	36	37	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	0.23	-25	31	-56	12.4	14.2	-1.87	15.7	15.7	0.04
Tre Mann	53	53	-0.61	1.11	-1.71	-0.20	-14	20	-34	14.4	12.9	1.45	15.8	15.6	0.21
Aleksej Pokusevski	48	47	-0.66	1.16	-1.83	-0.05	-21	27	-48	15.2	12.4	2.85	16.0	15.5	0.49

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	33	33	0.70	-1.20	1.91	-0.00	24	-30	54	14.8	16.1	-1.23	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Dwight Powell	37	36	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.02	7	-13	20	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.2	12.8	2.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.	45	45	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.12	3	-9	12	16.1	15.4	0.66	13.0	14.1	-1.12
Jaden Hardy	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	16.0	15.7	0.32	12.0	13.7	-1.74
Christian Wood	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	1	-8	16.4	14.8	1.57	12.1	15.4	-3.22
Spencer Dinwiddie	70	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-8	10	16.0	15.2	0.84	14.2	12.5	1.71
Maxi Kleber	60	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	2	-10	15.1	16.5	-1.40	12.9	14.6	-1.65
Reggie Bullock	67	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	8	-22	16.5	14.5	2.00	13.4	13.9	-0.52
Dorian Finney-Smith	69	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	1	-8	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.4	12.2	2.15
Luka Doncic	81	82	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.31	-25	19	-44	15.4	16.7	-1.28	13.9	12.8	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	90.2%
SAC 116, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.51,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.16,0.03,0	90.0%
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	89.8%