inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 115 Excitement9.1 [168] MVPJrue Holiday (MIL): +40.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 123 Comeback1.6 [951] LVPBobby Portis (MIL): -11.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Holiday0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.100.11-0.005100%0.2100.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.18,0.180.060.11-0.011955%0.211-0.0300%0.00
Trae Young0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.26,0.26,0.05,0.140.16-0.03-0.013259%0.172-0.037100%0.04
Clint Capela0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02861%0.082-0.05250%-0.01
John Collins0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.04-0.02440%0.052-0.0420%-0.02
Aaron Holiday0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00560%0.052-0.0500%0.00
AJ Griffin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
De'Andre Hunter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.030.02-0.050.011058%0.052-0.094100%0.02
Jalen Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01729%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.40.400.150.23-0.022267%0.473-0.07771%0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.340.340.060.310.032254%0.412-0.071958%-0.17
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.060.00673%0.151-0.033100%0.02
Brook Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.09,0.090.090.18-0.070.021287%0.211-0.1300%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
MarJon Beauchamp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001150%0.042-0.0400%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Grayson Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00550%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Jevon Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.00425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.09-0.001237%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.334.93.029.01.639.8134.3
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +18.3%
MIL +12.7%
MIL +26.0%
ATL -7.7%
MIL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMILNBAATLMILNBA
this game13.515.014.4113.9121.8113.4
season13.814.0115.1113.8
opponent14.214.4111.1114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL12.414.313.413.813.5
MIL16.415.714.813.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Onyeka Okongwu39380.23-0.730.970.066-142014.213.01.2116.014.51.51
AJ Griffin1110-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-7615.213.31.9015.615.00.63
Justin Holiday2626-0.04-0.460.41-0.02-1-7612.913.7-0.8116.114.71.41
Jalen Johnson3534-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-5213.513.5-0.0415.814.61.15
Aaron Holiday5049-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-3-213.213.8-0.5616.114.02.12
Dejounte Murray7172-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.281-91014.112.02.1114.815.7-0.88
De'Andre Hunter6667-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.21-5-3-213.513.50.0414.615.8-1.15
John Collins6667-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.21-5-3-213.513.50.0414.615.8-1.15
Trae Young7979-0.620.12-0.74-0.24-135-1813.115.0-1.9914.517.0-2.46
Clint Capela6263-0.730.23-0.97-0.32-146-2013.014.2-1.2114.516.0-1.51

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis49490.73-0.230.950.2915-72214.815.3-0.4914.013.00.96
Brook Lopez72710.64-0.140.780.1716-82414.316.9-2.6214.012.21.88
Jrue Holiday79780.60-0.100.690.2412-41614.317.5-3.1613.712.90.80
George Hill35350.50-0.000.510.249-11015.514.80.7012.514.0-1.49
Wesley Matthews38360.180.32-0.13-0.2314-62013.615.9-2.2813.513.50.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo70720.070.43-0.350.37-1018-2814.915.4-0.4713.014.7-1.64
Jordan Nwora32320.050.45-0.400.0217-615.614.80.8712.214.1-1.90
MarJon Beauchamp13130.050.45-0.400.0217-617.014.72.2615.213.22.00
Grayson Allen4243-0.040.54-0.570.08-412-1615.814.51.3813.013.8-0.84
Serge Ibaka2223-0.110.61-0.720.06-614-2017.214.42.8111.814.0-2.20
Jevon Carter5353-0.170.67-0.850.06-816-2415.814.11.6814.812.12.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.68,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.47,0.77,0.68,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 93, SAS 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.78,0.84,193.0%
MEM 99, IND 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,192.6%
CHI 91, SEA 970.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,192.0%