NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	7.6 [291]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +20.7%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	1.4 [1114]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -29.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	9	70%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	-0.02	0.02	12	83%	0.27	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	-0.02	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.28	-0.00	-0.29	-0.01	19	57%	0.03	5	-0.32	4	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.01	10	62%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	11	61%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	64%	0.18	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.17	0.01	16	34%	-0.19	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.6	28.2	14.6	22.2	2.6	33.5	127.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +7.3%

NYK -9.1%

SAS +3.2%

SAS +45.3%

SAS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	15.7	18.2	15.4	108.1	115.5	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.2		100.5	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.9	16.0	17.0	15.0	15.7
SAS	19.4	19.2	20.0	15.0	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	1	-6	16.1	15.3	0.84	19.8	17.1	2.69
Jared Jeffries	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	1	-6	15.8	15.6	0.25	18.4	18.2	0.21
Eddy Curry	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-9	14	15.7	15.7	-0.05	18.8	15.7	3.09
David Lee	58	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	15.1	16.8	-1.72	16.8	21.2	-4.39
Jamal Crawford	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	15.4	18.1	-2.70	18.1	19.7	-1.53
Nate Robinson	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-4	4	15.1	16.5	-1.34	16.6	20.5	-3.88
Malik Rose	36	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	8	-20	16.8	14.9	1.92	20.1	16.8	3.31
Stephon Marbury	70	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	4	-12	15.9	14.7	1.20	18.3	18.1	0.15

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	63	63	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	19.3	15.0	4.27	16.3	13.8	2.57
Bruce Bowen	70	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-4	12	18.8	15.7	3.04	16.1	13.4	2.67
Robert Horry	34	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-12	28	20.1	17.0	3.14	17.5	14.4	3.12
Tony Parker	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	18.2	18.5	-0.29	16.2	13.9	2.23
DerMarr Johnson	8	9	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	-5	14	18.0	18.3	-0.28	17.6	15.4	2.11
Matt Bonner	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.50	-11	15	-26	17.1	19.4	-2.31	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Jacque Vaughn	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	3	-2	16.9	18.9	-2.06	14.3	16.2	-1.94
Michael Finley	54	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	8	-12	18.5	17.7	0.80	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Ime Udoka	28	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	18.0	18.4	-0.38	14.0	16.4	-2.41
Fabricio Oberto	29	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.02	-9	13	-22	15.4	19.7	-4.33	13.6	16.8	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 79, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.85,1	92.9%
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	92.8%
CHA 94, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	92.8%