NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	8.0 [215]		MVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): +19.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.1 [1080]		LVP	Bryce Drew (CHI): -19.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.01	24	60%	0.31	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,0,0,0	-0.06	0.06	-0.00	11	61%	0.21	5	-0.21	9	78%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	3	60%	-0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Bryce Drew	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	12	68%	0.32	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	6	113%	0.26	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.07	0.00	14	50%	0.15	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	16	52%	-0.01	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.07
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	45.3	2.5	26.9	15.0	28.2	1.8	33.2	152.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +2.7%

SEA +7.9%

SEA +24.8%

SEA +8.7%

SEA +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.5	98.9	106.6	100.9
season	16.4	15.2		95.2	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.1	17.6	15.3	13.9	15.7
SEA	14.5	15.9	16.7	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	51	51	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.06	11	-17	28	15.9	15.5	0.37	16.1	15.4	0.63
Marcus Fizer	18	18	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-8	10	17.3	15.3	1.97	15.0	16.0	-0.97
Jamal Crawford	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-11	16	16.0	15.4	0.62	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Dalibor Bagaric	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	15.5	15.8	-0.23	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Brad Miller	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-1	-4	15.8	15.5	0.23	16.0	15.0	1.04
Bryce Drew	49	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	5	-16	15.4	16.0	-0.62	16.2	15.3	0.91
Elton Brand	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	2	-10	15.3	17.3	-1.97	16.0	15.0	0.97
Ron Mercer	80	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	6	-18	15.5	16.7	-1.12	15.8	15.4	0.47
Fred Hoiberg	53	51	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	5	-16	15.8	15.6	0.14	15.4	16.2	-0.84

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	71	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	15.6	16.5	-0.92	15.3	17.3	-2.04
Vin Baker	66	66	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-4	14	15.4	16.7	-1.24	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Patrick Ewing	66	68	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-7	20	15.4	16.8	-1.46	15.3	16.8	-1.48
Rashard Lewis	75	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-4	14	15.9	15.3	0.57	15.8	15.0	0.83
Brent Barry	72	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	2	2	16.7	12.1	4.64	16.3	13.3	3.00
Desmond Mason	12	12	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	3	0	13.2	16.2	-2.91	13.1	16.1	-3.00
Shammond Williams	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	12	-18	15.4	16.0	-0.55	15.5	15.8	-0.24
Olumide Oyedeji	20	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	11	-16	15.6	15.8	-0.23	16.3	15.5	0.72
Jelani McCoy	25	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	16.7	15.4	1.24	16.2	15.5	0.69
Gary Payton	17	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	16.3	15.7	0.63	17.4	15.3	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.59,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	91.9%
MIA 101, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1	91.9%
LAC 106, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	91.6%