NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	101		Excitement	8.1 [232]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +21.2%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	1.3 [192]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIA): -17.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	11	77%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.08	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.06,0,0.05,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	24	51%	0.07	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.08
Mario Chalmers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	-0.00	10	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	12	46%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.15	-0.00	12	67%	0.27	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	16	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.10	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	7	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	25.6	16.3	24.6	2.5	36.2	133.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.1%

WAS +16.2%

MIA -3.7%

WAS +1.0%

WAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	WAS	NBA	MIA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.4	103.1	109.4	104.1
season	15.7	15.1		110.2	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.2	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	15.5	15.1	12.6	14.3
WAS	16.4	15.2	16.2	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	36	33	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.05	-1	-3	2	15.3	13.7	1.58	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Mario Chalmers	21	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-3	2	14.1	14.3	-0.23	15.5	15.4	0.06
Joel Anthony	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	15.1	14.1	0.95	15.7	15.4	0.34
Terrel Harris	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-3	2	15.0	14.1	0.93	17.5	14.8	2.75
Rashard Lewis	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	1	-6	14.1	14.3	-0.23	18.1	14.3	3.73
Mike Miller	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-5	6	14.4	14.0	0.44	14.1	17.7	-3.51
Ray Allen	74	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-3	2	14.4	14.0	0.31	14.7	17.4	-2.74
LeBron James	88	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	14.1	16.0	-1.92	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Chris Bosh	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	13.9	15.4	-1.46	15.5	15.3	0.22
Dwyane Wade	69	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.41	-6	2	-8	13.9	15.3	-1.42	15.6	15.0	0.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	64	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-3	10	14.7	17.0	-2.31	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Chris Singleton	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-2	8	16.0	13.8	2.17	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Shaun Livingston	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	14.6	16.5	-1.90	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	61	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	15.2	15.9	-0.72	15.0	12.8	2.22
Martell Webster	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	7	-10	14.8	16.6	-1.75	14.4	14.0	0.41
Trevor Ariza	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	-3	10	16.6	14.8	1.75	14.0	14.4	-0.41
A.J. Price	44	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	1	2	16.5	14.6	1.90	14.3	14.3	0.02
Emeka Okafor	25	24	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	1	2	17.7	14.6	3.10	13.9	14.4	-0.53
Nene	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	13.1	16.8	-3.66	13.9	14.5	-0.66
Bradley Beal	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	7	-10	17.0	14.7	2.31	14.5	14.2	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	93.2%
MIN 105, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	93.1%
WAS 97, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.72,1	92.7%