NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	129		Excitement	10.0 [84]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): +32.0%
Brooklyn Nets	125		Comeback	3.6 [438]		LVP	Reggie Bullock (DAL): -13.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32	0.09	0.23	-0.00	13	64%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Maxi Kleber	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.19	0.00	5	94%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Christian Wood	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.16	0.02	5	79%	0.26	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Josh Green	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	3	125%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luka Doncic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.1,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.06	-0.01	28	59%	0.30	5	-0.26	13	85%	0.08
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	5	57%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Bullock	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	0.04	-0.15	0.03	7	56%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.15	0.12	21	70%	0.30	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.07
David Duke Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	71%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.02	31	57%	0.25	3	-0.21	6	100%	0.04
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.02	11	45%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	28.3	14.7	28.4	2.4	34.5	2.5	19.3	161.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +52.3%

DAL +13.0%

BKN -10.3%

BKN -17.1%

DAL +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BKN	NBA	DAL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	14.4	119.4	115.7	113.4
season	15.2	14.4		115.5	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.3		113.0	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.0	14.3	14.5	17.0	17.7	15.6
BKN	14.0	13.4	13.2	15.7	12.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	82	82	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.37	20	-16	36	15.4	16.0	-0.56	13.6	14.6	-0.93
Maxi Kleber	64	64	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-11	26	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.5	12.9	1.66
Reggie Bullock	82	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-3	10	16.0	14.3	1.67	14.0	13.4	0.59
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	5	-6	15.2	16.1	-0.93	14.2	13.4	0.75
Dorian Finney-Smith	83	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	4	-4	15.8	14.8	1.06	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Josh Green	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	1	2	13.8	16.2	-2.39	14.2	13.7	0.46
Christian Wood	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	2	0	15.3	15.8	-0.53	15.3	12.7	2.67
Facundo Campazzo	6	6	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	2	0	13.8	15.7	-1.84	14.0	13.9	0.14
JaVale McGee	26	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.02	-8	12	-20	16.4	15.3	1.07	11.9	14.5	-2.59
Spencer Dinwiddie	57	57	-0.64	1.14	-1.79	-0.06	-20	24	-44	16.2	14.9	1.27	13.0	14.9	-1.88

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	32	33	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-4	4	14.9	13.4	1.43	16.1	15.3	0.79
Nic Claxton	57	58	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-7	10	13.6	14.1	-0.47	16.6	14.4	2.15
Yuta Watanabe	46	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-8	12	14.8	13.2	1.55	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Royce O'Neale	84	86	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-15	26	12.7	17.8	-5.10	15.9	14.3	1.58
Edmond Sumner	35	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	3	-10	14.0	13.8	0.23	13.2	16.6	-3.40
Ben Simmons	78	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-5	6	13.5	14.7	-1.19	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Kyrie Irving	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	14.1	13.1	1.03	16.2	13.6	2.57
Kevin Durant	84	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	2	-8	13.5	15.3	-1.88	15.7	15.2	0.45
David Duke Jr.	41	41	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.10	-23	19	-42	15.6	12.8	2.76	14.4	16.3	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.15,0.46,0.2,0.03,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 115, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.08,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.09,0	88.5%
HOU 119, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	88.3%
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	88.1%